Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
  • p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
  • p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
  • p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table A-12 l970= 100
Indexes of GNP by End Use
1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 71956 1957
Consumption 38.5 38.8 41.1 43.9 46.3 48.9 51.2” 54.7
1958 1959
58~"_.-.__-..f11.;? ..
Consumer goods 37.8 37.5 40.3 43.7 46.2 48.9 51.5
Food 43.9 42.5 45.7 49.0 50.6 53.5 55.9: 69-:2
55.8 60.2’W_WW6r2.5 V
_-. .65-J. ..-.-.._°1~!..
Animal products 38.9 39.6 40.6 42.9 45.0 46.4 50.3 55.3 f 62.7fi
Processed foods 26.0 34.4 38.2 45.9 37.7 46.5 50.1” 52.4 54.8 57.5
Basic foods 72.4 60.4 68.6 72.6 76.4 79.6 1s.2__ 32.23 1
Beverages 20.8 23.3 26.0 29.2 32.9 36.9 385 42.6 .. .11-§.._ ._.._‘.*“-.7 .. ..
Soft goods 24.5 27.7 29.3 32.5 37.8 39.8 43.2 46.1 49.6 52.7
Durables 10.8 12.6 14.4 18.8 24.1 26.3 18-8.- 34.8 18-1:41.-9 7.
Consumer services 39.9 41.1 42.6 44.2 46.4 48.9 59-1. 52.8 . ..._5..5-7.. . .. .29.-9
Housing 48.1 49.4 50.7 52.1 53.6 55.4 57.3 59.8 63.0 66.7
Utilities 25.1 26.6 28.4 30.0 31.6 33.4 35.3j 37.1 .19-9.::4?-9
Transportation 13.6 15.1 16.6 18.6 20.8 24.0 25.7__ 29.4 32.s________3_c>.0 _
Communications 22.4 24.5 26.7 28.4 30.8 33.1 35-.9. 38.4 40.6 43.2
Repair and personal care 42.1 42.9 43.7 44.6 45.6 46.6 45.1“ 45.0 48.0 55.3
Recreation 37.6 39.9 42.4 44.4 49.6 57.6 so.s_A_ _§.3_~.<:....... -6 I€:7---; .
Education 42.8 43.8 45.1 46.3 48.3 50.3 51.8
s g g
mvo.
5.3_-L. _- .. 54-l.__.- .5_‘3;‘_‘. .. ..
Health 39.0 39.8 41.7 44.5 48.5 52.5 54.2 57.4 60.6"” W6-1.1
Investment 17.6 20.9 20.9 24.2 26.0 31.5 35.8 J19-2. _.‘_‘.‘i~_“_.-......_f‘_?;§ .. ...
New fixed investment 17.9 21.6 21.4 24.9 26.6 32.2 36.1
A
40.5 44.8 49.1
Machinery and equipment 13.5 13.5 14.8 15.6 18.4 22.5 2s.3_
Construction and other
capital outlays
20.7 23.8 26.6 29.2 32.4 35.9 38.1 41.6
Net additions to livestock 6.2 39.1 — 10.4 20.3 -4.4 38.8 59.4; 78.5
l1_~1___. .32-3. .. __ }§~1 ...
47.0 53.0
39-9. 39;?
Capital repair 15.7 17.3 18.7 20.9 23.0 27.9 33.2 38.0 42.9 50.3
Other government expenditures 51.3 51.2 56.0 53.6 54.0 57.6 65-ii 28.2 91-i.:.Ié§-76
7
Government administrative
SCFVICCS
97.0 97.0 96.8 93.2 86.3 77.1 75.5 072.1
General agricultural pro-
grams
66.7 72.3 77.7 71.1 73.7 53.1 5179*" 055.157
72.8 70.8
85.9
'
10769.5
Forestry 121.8 123.9 126.0 113.3 109.3 105.6 103.270 97.4
State administration and 1 18.3
the administrative or-
gans of social organiza-
tions
116.6 114.8 110.7 98.9 87.0 83.7" 78.8
Culture 39.9 41.2 42.5 43.6 45.5 47.3 47.87 480.5
M 7947.27 037.97
7
78.2 74.9
7
"Z5014
Municipal services 53.4 55.4 57.5 58.7 59.8 60.9 e2.5_ e3_.1 .._<aa2.-_-..<»_4~é
7 7
Civilian police 118.3 116.6 114.8 110.7 98.9 87.0 83-1. 1.3.-8 78.2 74.9
Research and development 18.2 20.0 21.6 22.7 24.0 26.2 29.6 32.8
W‘ 773"i'.i”””41 .3
H
Outlays n.e.c. 49.2 48.6 55.5 52.4 54.3 61.4 11-21 31.7 65.3______s].9 g
Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0 40.0 41.9 45.5 -__i9.-2.. E 1.-2.
79
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
55~ '_.-__.5l§;?..-..- .

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.