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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
  • p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
  • p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
  • p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table A-ll (Continued)
Percentage Shares of GNP by End Use
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975
Z
1976 19771119991978 1975
Percent
C1980
Consumption 54.2 54.1 54.3 52.7 52.6 53.8 52.5 52.4 52.1 53.2 53.6
Consumer goods 34.7 34.7 34.7 33.8 33.7 34.5 33.5 33.6 33.3 33.9 34.1
Food 25.5 25.1 24.7 24.1 23.9 24.2 23.2 23.0 22.7 23.0 22.7
Animal products 14.3 14.0 14.0 13.7 13.7 14.1 13.4 13.2 13.0 13.2 13.0
Processed foods 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
Basic foods 6.1 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.3 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.7
Beverages 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4
Soft goods 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.8 7.0 7.3
Durables 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.1
Consumer services 19.5 19.4 19.7 19.0 18.9 19.3 19.0 18.8 18.8 19.2 19.5
Housing 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5
Utilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2
Transportation 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1
Communications 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Repair and personal care 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6
Recreation 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Education 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2
Health 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4
Investment 28.2 28.5 29.1 29.7 30.4 30.6 31.5 32.1 32.2 32.5 33.0
New fixed investment 23.4 23.3 23.6 23.8 24.3 24.6 25.3 25.6 25.5 25.7 26.0
Machinery and equipment 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.2 7.6 8.5 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.9 10.2
Construction and other
capital outlays
15.6 15.9 16.4 16.1 16.2 16.6 16.3 15.9 15.7 15.7 15.8
Net additions to livestock 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.4 -0.5 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Capital repair 4.8 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.1 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.7 6.8 7.;
Other government expenditures 17.6 17.4 16.5 17.6 16.9 15.6 15.9 15.5 15.7 14.3 13.4
Government administrative
services
2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
General agricultural pro-
grams
0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Forestry 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
State administration and
the administrative or-
gans of social organiza-
tions
1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Culture 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Municipal services 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Civilian police 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Research and development 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6
Outlays n.e.c. 11.6 11.4 10.3 11.5 10.8 9.3 9.8 9.4 9.6 8.1 6.9
Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.