Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

Open the PDF at page 68 Original source ↗

“Hill”4 pages

p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…

Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table A-4 (Continued) Percent
Percentage Shares of GNP by Sector of Origin
1970 19 71 1972 1973 1974 1975 18920” 197281978 1979 1980
Industry 32.0 32.7 33.7 33.2 34.0 35.5 35.2 :35-5 415 1@~i"7.'_§E§§1.1§:j
V_ Ferrous metals 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1
Nonferrous metals 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4
-8
1.4 1.4 1.4_—T1.4W7
fl_Fuel 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.3 ‘3.4 3.3
W 3.4 3.4
Electric power 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 _2.6 2.6 _ 2.7 _2.8
Machinery 10.1 10.5 11.0 11.1 11.6 12.3 12.4 12.7 12.9 13.5 13.98178
Chemicals 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 __2'6 .__2;° ._-__2_-§__.__Z~7
2.4
2.1
‘Wood, pulp, and paper
Construction materials
2.4
2.1
2.4
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.2
’2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0v WW
2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
Light industry 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 _2.4 2.4 2.4 i2.4 2.4 2.4
Food industry 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.8
Other industry 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 71.0 1.0 1.1 1.17"
Construction 7 . 3 7.5 7.8 7.6 7.7 8.0 7.9 _.7'8 .__7_~§_..._. 7,-.3___Z~9
{\gricu1ture 21.1 20.0 17.9 19.5 18.4 15.7 16.7 16.7 10.7 1§._2___13.9ll
Transportation 8.7 9.0 9.3 9.3 9.5 10.0 9.9 789.8 9.9 10.1 10.3
Communications 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 ‘-81.1 V
1_.1i 1.1 1.2
Trade 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.3 7.4 7.6 7.5 787.6 7.0 7.7
—"7T777fl
Services 20.5 20.4 20.8 20.0 19.9 20.2 19.7 519.6 19.5 20.0 T201381“
Housing 7.2 7.1 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.9 6.7 _> 6.7___’_>_6A.>6_ r’6.7W”6.7
Utilities 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.7 0.1”“,
Repair and personal care 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 ___1.4___1.4A_M1._5___‘ 1.0
ngecreation 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.21”
f_Education 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 _d3.4 A
3.4’ 3.4 3.5
Health 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
Science 7 .0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 72.2 U” 2.2 Z3“ 23”’
Credit and insurance 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 __0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Government administrative 2.5
services
2.5 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0””
General agricultural programs 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 __0.3 0.3 0._3 0.3
Forestry 0. 1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
State administration and the 1.2
administrative organs of social
,_*_ organizations
1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Culture 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Municipal services 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
i Civilian police 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 '04 "'03" id4éK4*W*
Military personnel 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 _. ‘-6 . .__L-6 1.9 1.0 W
Other branches 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 100.0mi00.0H'1_<>0.o
61
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.