Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

Open the PDF at page 66 Original source ↗

“Hill”4 pages

  • p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
  • p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
  • p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
  • p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table A-4
Percentage Shares of GNP by Sector of Origin
1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957
Percent
1958 1959
Industry 20.4 22.2 22.7 23.5 24.7 25.3 25.3 26.2 26.6 27.4
Ferrous metals 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.0
Nonferrous metals 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0
Fuel 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9
Electric power 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 11.2 1.3 1.3
Machinery 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.5 7.7 7.7 7.9
Chemicals 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 l.l 1.1 1.2
Wood, pulp, and paper 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.2
Construction materials 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9
Light industry 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6
Food industry 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7
Other industry 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8
Construction 4.3 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.9
Agriculture 30.6 27.3 27.1 27.3 26.6 27.7 29.4 27.9 28.1 27.1
Transportation 3 .9 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.4
Communications 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Trade 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.6
Services 29.5 29.3 28.3 27.3 26.5 24.8 23.4 23.1 22.4 22.1
Housing 10.0 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.3 8.8 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.3
Utilities 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Repair and personal care 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Recreation 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Education 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0
Health 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
Science 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4
Credit and insurance 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4
Government administrative 6.9 6.7 6.4
services
5.8 5.1 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.0
General agricultural 0.5 0.6 0.6
programs
0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Forestry 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
State administration and 3.9 3.8 3.5
the administrative or-
gans of social organiza-
tions
3.2 2.7 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5
Culture 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Municipal services 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Civilian police 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Military personnel 5.6 6.1 6.2
Other branches 0.3 0.3 0.3
5.4
0.3
4.8
0.3
4.1
0.3
3.7 3.4
0.3 0.3
2.9
0.3
2.5
0.3
Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.5
59
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.