Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
  • p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
  • p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
  • p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table A-1 (Continued)
GNP by Sector of Origin
Billion 1970 Rubles
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975
“A
1976 1977 1978 1979 19so
Industry 122.6 130.0 136.6 144.5 153.9 163.4 169.8 176.5 182.6 188.0 193.4
Ferrous metals 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.8 10.2 10.7 11.0 11.0 11.3 11.3 11.3
Nonferrous metals 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.2 7.3
Fuel 12.1 12.7 13.3 13.9 14.6 15.4 16.0 16.7 17.2 17.7 18.1
Electric power 8.3 9.0 9.6 10.3 11.0 11.7 12.5 12.9 13.5 13.9 14.6
Machinery 38.5 41.7 44.5 48.3 52.4 56.4 59.5 62.9 66.4 70.1 73.2
Chemicals 7.8 8.4 8.9 9.7 10.7 11.7 12.3 12.9 13.4 13.4 14.1
Wood, pulp, and paper 9.4 9.7 9.8 10.1 10.3 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.3 10.6
Construction materials 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.8 11.0 11.2 11.3 11.4
Light industry 9.8 10.2 10.3 10.6 10.8 11.2 11.6 11.9 12.2 12.4 12.7
Food industry 11.6 11.9 12.3 12.4 13.4 14.1 13.9 14.5 14.3 14.8 14.6
Other industry 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.6
Construction 28.0 29.9 31.5 33.3 35.0 36.8 38.0 38.9 40.1 40.4 41.4
Agriculture 81.0 79.6 72.8 84.9 83.0 72.0 80.2 83.0 85.9 78.8 73.1
Transportation 33.4 35.7 37.6 40.3 43.2 45.8 47.8 48.8 51.1 52.3 54.3
Communications 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.2
Trade 28.0 29.4 30.3 31.9 33.5 35.1 36.3 37.6 38.9 39.8 40.7
Services 78.5 81.4 84.3 87.1 90.0 92.8 95.1 97.4 100.4 103.4 106.6
Housing 27.7 28.5 29.2 30.0 30.8 31.6 32.3 33.1 33.9 34.6 35.3
Utilities 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.6
Repair and personal care 4.6 4.8 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.2 6.6 6.9 7.4 7.9 8.4
Recreation 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7
Education 14.5 15.0 15.3 15.6 15.9 16.3 16.6 16.9 17.3 17.7 18.3
Health 7.6 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.3 9.3
Science 7.8 8.3 8.9 9.5 9.9 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.2 11.7 12.2
Credit and insurance 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3
Government administrative services 9.6 10.0 10.4 10.7 11.2 11.6 11.9 12.3 12.7 13.0 13.4
General agricultural programs 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8
Forestry 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
State administration and the
administrative organs of social
organizations
4.4 4.6 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.9
Culture 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1
Municipal services 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1
Civilian police 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
Military personnel 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.3
Other branches 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7 435.2 452.2 459.7 481.6 497.0 514.1 518.2 525.4
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.