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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 10 Percent
1970 Soviet Gross National Product
by End Use
W 1 “K1737” uwrlcigr-costEstablished
Prices Prices
Consumptioni
Consumer goods _
55.1
43.4
54.2
34.7
Table ll Percent
1970 Soviet Gross National Product
by Sector of Origin
Established Factor-Cost
Prices Prices
Industry __ _45.8 ‘ 7__rIL.0WW_’ _ V
Ferrous metals 1.9 2.3
Food 28.2 25.5 Nonferrous metals
W
1.2
7 V“-A WT"
A animal products 11.0 14.5’ _iFu~=1 _‘.:'.__i:f:.?.z3:i.ff“*.31 . - .
Processed foods 3.6 2.7 Electricpower W 1:5 **_WWN2».2 _r__ V ‘W Basic foods 6.0 6.1 3‘4a°hi"°'Y __.__... __._l_l.-?_. ._._. _....1Q;L . _ _._._>5 5
Beverages 7.5
i So£t_Goods 11.6
Durables 3.7
2.4
6.8
2.5
Chemicals W 2.6 _ fl__2V.0H WW
Wood, pulp, and paper if 2.9’ 2.4
Construction materials 2.0 2.1
F FM“ M 11.6 19.5- industry
W ff 77,122,557
Consumer services
Housing i 0.9 7.0 Food industry
W 7,7777% AA W”
<>~<>__ljtilities
_iTransportation 1.4
1.0
1.7
Communications 0.3 0.5
.__. _. Z-5L _ _. . .319 _
Other industry _V i 1.7 0.9vV ”__
__ T4 ..__ I3 ,
20.5 21.1
Construction
Agriculture
Repair and personal care 1.4
V
Vflllecreation 0.7
1.2
1.0
,__- _ 7~4 _._ ._§:.L______.
0.7 0.9
Transportation
WW F V
Communications
V
Education 3 .8 4.5 W 4.8 r Ww7.3H M
Trade
Health 2.2
lnviestmeht-_V__ _ ‘____ 28.5 _‘_
2.6
28.2
Services _" __ 11.4 f_WW20.5WV_HWfi
0.9 7.2Housing
Wlllevv fixed investment ‘__23.5 23.4 _._.. ._____.. 9.-.5__._.__ . _ -19. _. .
l1_J_t_i_lities__
Machinery and equipment 6.8 6.7 Repair and personal care __ ‘_m‘_¢l‘.1__WV__V_l;2VfVifl_’
Construction and other capital 15.6
. qwlflvs .
15.6
_WNet addgions to livestock 1.1 1.2
Wrgapital repair _ 5.0_A_?_W 4.8
Othe_r__p>u_b1i_c-sector expenditures ifi 16.4 17.6
Government administrative services _24 2.8
V mikmeseafrch anideveloprnent _2i.7 3.1
Outlays n.e.c. 11.4
Source: See text.
11.6
As regards changes in the distribution of GNP by
sector of origin (table 1 1), the two sectors showing the
largest increases in percentage shares of GNP as a
result of repricing are trade (retail, wholesale, and
agricultural procurement) and housing. The light and
food industry sectors experienced the greatest decline
in GNP shares, primarily because most of the turn-
over taxes are collected in those sectors.
41
Recreation * 0.5__A MM i 7_7Q.8
lliducation 3.0 3.8
Health hi 1.6 fim 2.0mW
Science _r 1.6 fi__7_2i.0 V W
fCredit and insurance _ 0.3 0.4
Government administrative services 1.9 2.5
General agricultural programs _i0_.2V__
Forestry ___ >__ 0_.rl__MVifl77710.17?" f
State administration and the ad- 0.8 1.2
ministrative organs of social
organizations V WV W_W__WWW_W_
¢i"___W _- __._J.-3_..<>.~.4.
-
Civilian police 0.4 _ HM0.4_7i’W
Mvilitary personnel __ _ 1.8 WW1}
Other branches 0.3 0.3
Source: See text.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.