Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 115 …science and administration in 1970 published by V. M. Rutgayzer, Resursy razvi- tiya neproizvodstvenno sfery, Moscow…
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
estimated expenditures for maintenance. Household
financial flows are categorized as follows: Flgure 9
Household Income and Outlay Account
Outlays Incomes
4.1 Goods and services 4.8 Rent of owner-occupied housing End'Us° Caiewries Sector-of-Origin Categories
Soviet End-Use and Sector-of-Origin GNP Categories
4.2 Net earnings from sales of 4.9 Sales of services
goods and services 4.10 Sales of new housing
4.3 Imputed wages 4.11 Sales of agricultural products
4.4 Imputed net rent to the state and private consumption
4.5 Consumption in kind of 4.12 Imputed sales of in kind con-
private plot output sumption of private plot output
4.6 Investment in kind of live- 4.13 Imputed sales of in kind invest-
stock ment in livestock
4.7 Imputed earnings from pri-
vate housing construction
Consumption
Consumer goods
Food
Animal products
Processed foods
Basic foods
Beverages
Soft goods
Durables
Consumer services
Housing
Utilities
Transportation
Communications
Repair and personal care
Recreation
Education
Definitions and Conventions
Sector Classifications. Three measures of GNP are
calculated, based alternatively on end use, income
flows, and sector of origin. The end uses are, as in
Western accounts, consumption, investment, govern- Health
ment, and net exports. The detailed end-use catego- l""°$""°"‘ _
- - - - - - - New fixed investment
Industry
Ferrous metals
Nonferrous metals
Fuel
Electric power
Machinery
Chemicals
Wood, pulp, and paper
Construction materials
Light industry
Food industry
Other industry
Construction
Agriculture
Transportation
Communications
Trade
Services
Housing
Utilities
ries are listed in figure 9. Consumption is divided into Machinery and equipment Rcpalr and personal care
goods and services. Goods comprise four types of food Construction and other Recreation
(animal products, basic foods, processed foods, and Capital outlays_ Education
f d d d bl S - Net additions to livestock Health
beverages), so t goo s, an ura es. ervices com- Capllal repalr sclerrce
P1153 housing Tents (C3-Sh and impuwd), utilities! trans- Other government expenditures Credit and insurance
d 1 Government administrative Government administrative
portation, communications, repair an persona care, _
- - S€l'VlCCS
recreation, education, and health. Some services are General agrlculrrrral pro_ General agrlcullural programs
purchased by consumers, and some are partly paid for grams
by the government.” Other services either are not F°'°5"Y _ _ _
5"" a_d'_“i"i$E""i°" 3"‘! *1“
State administration and administrative organs of
available to Soviet consumers, or there are no data llre admlrllslrallvc or_
services
Forestry
social organizations
with which to estimate them. For example, financial gans of social organiza- Culture
and real estate services furnished to households are *i°"S
. - - - - Culture
negligible, and privately supplied services of lawyers, Munlclpal Servlces
doctors, dentists, and teachers cannot be estimated Civilian police
adequately, especially over time. Our 1970 weights, g°iT*"°h and d°"°1°Pm°"‘
. . U 3. Sn.e.C.
Municipal services
Civilian police
Military personnel
Other branches
however, do include some estimates of private health y
and educational services.
Soviet investment differs from the end-use category in for these expenditures separately from current repair
the US GNP accounts by the inclusion of investment In the United States, some repairs of this sort are
in kind in livestock and expenditures on capital repair. considered current expense and not included in GNP
Contrary to Western practice, the Soviets make de- others are capitalized and included with new fixed
preciation deductions for capital repair and account investment. The Soviet investment expenditures re-
'
ported in the Narkhoz include investment by state
” See JEC, Consumption, for a discussion of the rationale for
including government-paid services with consumption.
30
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.