Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Gross”60+ pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 estimated expenditures for maintenance. Household financial flows are categorized as follows: Flgure 9 Household Income and Outlay Account Outlays Incomes 4.1 Goods and services 4.8 Rent of owner-occupied housing End'Us° Caiewries Sector-of-Origin Categories Soviet End-Use and Sector-of-Origin GNP Categories 4.2 Net earnings from sales of 4.9 Sales of services goods and services 4.10 Sales of new housing 4.3 Imputed wages 4.11 Sales of agricultural products 4.4 Imputed net rent to the state and private consumption 4.5 Consumption in kind of 4.12 Imputed sales of in kind con- private plot output sumption of private plot output 4.6 Investment in kind of live- 4.13 Imputed sales of in kind invest- stock ment in livestock 4.7 Imputed earnings from pri- vate housing construction Consumption Consumer goods Food Animal products Processed foods Basic foods Beverages Soft goods Durables Consumer services Housing Utilities Transportation Communications Repair and personal care Recreation Education Definitions and Conventions Sector Classifications. Three measures of GNP are calculated, based alternatively on end use, income flows, and sector of origin. The end uses are, as in Western accounts, consumption, investment, govern- Health ment, and net exports. The detailed end-use catego- l""°$""°"‘ _ - - - - - - - New fixed investment Industry Ferrous metals Nonferrous metals Fuel Electric power Machinery Chemicals Wood, pulp, and paper Construction materials Light industry Food industry Other industry Construction Agriculture Transportation Communications Trade Services Housing Utilities ries are listed in figure 9. Consumption is divided into Machinery and equipment Rcpalr and personal care goods and services. Goods comprise four types of food Construction and other Recreation (animal products, basic foods, processed foods, and Capital outlays_ Education f d d d bl S - Net additions to livestock Health beverages), so t goo s, an ura es. ervices com- Capllal repalr sclerrce P1153 housing Tents (C3-Sh and impuwd), utilities! trans- Other government expenditures Credit and insurance d 1 Government administrative Government administrative portation, communications, repair an persona care, _ - - S€l'VlCCS recreation, education, and health. Some services are General agrlculrrrral pro_ General agrlcullural programs purchased by consumers, and some are partly paid for grams by the government.” Other services either are not F°'°5"Y _ _ _ 5"" a_d'_“i"i$E""i°" 3"‘! *1“ State administration and administrative organs of available to Soviet consumers, or there are no data llre admlrllslrallvc or_ services Forestry social organizations with which to estimate them. For example, financial gans of social organiza- Culture and real estate services furnished to households are *i°"S . - - - - Culture negligible, and privately supplied services of lawyers, Munlclpal Servlces doctors, dentists, and teachers cannot be estimated Civilian police adequately, especially over time. Our 1970 weights, g°iT*"°h and d°"°1°Pm°"‘ . . U 3. Sn.e.C. Municipal services Civilian police Military personnel Other branches however, do include some estimates of private health y and educational services. Soviet investment differs from the end-use category in for these expenditures separately from current repair the US GNP accounts by the inclusion of investment In the United States, some repairs of this sort are in kind in livestock and expenditures on capital repair. considered current expense and not included in GNP Contrary to Western practice, the Soviets make de- others are capitalized and included with new fixed preciation deductions for capital repair and account investment. The Soviet investment expenditures re- ' ported in the Narkhoz include investment by state ” See JEC, Consumption, for a discussion of the rationale for including government-paid services with consumption. 30 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.