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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
estimated expenditures for maintenance. Household
financial flows are categorized as follows: Flgure 9
Household Income and Outlay Account
Outlays Incomes
4.1 Goods and services 4.8 Rent of owner-occupied housing End'Us° Caiewries Sector-of-Origin Categories
Soviet End-Use and Sector-of-Origin GNP Categories
4.2 Net earnings from sales of 4.9 Sales of services
goods and services 4.10 Sales of new housing
4.3 Imputed wages 4.11 Sales of agricultural products
4.4 Imputed net rent to the state and private consumption
4.5 Consumption in kind of 4.12 Imputed sales of in kind con-
private plot output sumption of private plot output
4.6 Investment in kind of live- 4.13 Imputed sales of in kind invest-
stock ment in livestock
4.7 Imputed earnings from pri-
vate housing construction
Consumption
Consumer goods
Food
Animal products
Processed foods
Basic foods
Beverages
Soft goods
Durables
Consumer services
Housing
Utilities
Transportation
Communications
Repair and personal care
Recreation
Education
Definitions and Conventions
Sector Classifications. Three measures of GNP are
calculated, based alternatively on end use, income
flows, and sector of origin. The end uses are, as in
Western accounts, consumption, investment, govern- Health
ment, and net exports. The detailed end-use catego- l""°$""°"‘ _
- - - - - - - New fixed investment
Industry
Ferrous metals
Nonferrous metals
Fuel
Electric power
Machinery
Chemicals
Wood, pulp, and paper
Construction materials
Light industry
Food industry
Other industry
Construction
Agriculture
Transportation
Communications
Trade
Services
Housing
Utilities
ries are listed in figure 9. Consumption is divided into Machinery and equipment Rcpalr and personal care
goods and services. Goods comprise four types of food Construction and other Recreation
(animal products, basic foods, processed foods, and Capital outlays_ Education
f d d d bl S - Net additions to livestock Health
beverages), so t goo s, an ura es. ervices com- Capllal repalr sclerrce
P1153 housing Tents (C3-Sh and impuwd), utilities! trans- Other government expenditures Credit and insurance
d 1 Government administrative Government administrative
portation, communications, repair an persona care, _
- - S€l'VlCCS
recreation, education, and health. Some services are General agrlculrrrral pro_ General agrlcullural programs
purchased by consumers, and some are partly paid for grams
by the government.” Other services either are not F°'°5"Y _ _ _
5"" a_d'_“i"i$E""i°" 3"‘! *1“
State administration and administrative organs of
available to Soviet consumers, or there are no data llre admlrllslrallvc or_
services
Forestry
social organizations
with which to estimate them. For example, financial gans of social organiza- Culture
and real estate services furnished to households are *i°"S
. - - - - Culture
negligible, and privately supplied services of lawyers, Munlclpal Servlces
doctors, dentists, and teachers cannot be estimated Civilian police
adequately, especially over time. Our 1970 weights, g°iT*"°h and d°"°1°Pm°"‘
. . U 3. Sn.e.C.
Municipal services
Civilian police
Military personnel
Other branches
however, do include some estimates of private health y
and educational services.
Soviet investment differs from the end-use category in for these expenditures separately from current repair
the US GNP accounts by the inclusion of investment In the United States, some repairs of this sort are
in kind in livestock and expenditures on capital repair. considered current expense and not included in GNP
Contrary to Western practice, the Soviets make de- others are capitalized and included with new fixed
preciation deductions for capital repair and account investment. The Soviet investment expenditures re-
'
ported in the Narkhoz include investment by state
” See JEC, Consumption, for a discussion of the rationale for
including government-paid services with consumption.
30
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.