Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 9
Derivations of 1970 Weights for Components of the Index of Soft Goods
Retail Sales Military
for Consumption H Subsistence b
(Billion Rubles) (Billion Rubles)
T.....1c"*"f"j_, _c,*" ‘::*7IiBI370T'_"”"7:" 1.19»
Consumption
in Kind _t§9_'!t_*1l%r!,¢§W__..__-_.._. _.,_ ,.__1, ____ Wwii 2.603 inf 7* .043
"9§i§!¥.-__.___,_ 169.1,. , _ _ 7
-020
Leathe1'__f0otw'eL *___A‘§._2_107g
K
R"PP§r.fm¢£,. __ , ___._,,-_-_;2_1r*,_,.,. ,_._,-- , ,_
Houselioldvsofapsanii detergents .651 f f f f
Toilet soap and cosmetics 1.140
iii so "0
Scfhool
thread V f
3.6’ V M g V r A W
.010
i10ffiC6Sl5)pl1CS i 834 i if iii”
_____ as _ Ji‘l17_____z_.____,, _ _ .
1.360
1.00.1
1.141
.246
13.954
2.646
3.3
2.4
2.7
.6
33.6
6.3
10.3
4.1
15.2
2.1
.5
1.6
2.7
8.7
2.0
KF?l‘9‘!F?'Y‘{¢_*!E__,_,__ ,.__.__,_iL%7_______-, 3. _
__T_T::T1.1T5W 4-310
1.711
6.333
.865
.214
.651
1.140
3.633
.834an .
Publications 1.640 1.640 3.9
B Total retail sales, less institutional purchases. services and commis-
sion sales. Retail sales are given in Narkhoz 1972, pp. 584-85.
Institutional purchases were distributed on the basis of the shares in
last half 1968-first half 1969 shown in Vest stat, No. 5, 1971, p. 37.
Services were allocated on the basis of data in Narkhoz I972, p. 621.
Cloth used in repair and tailoring of clothing and knitwear was
allocated to fabrics in accordance with their respective shares in
retail trade. Laundry and dry cleaning services were allocated to
clothing. ,
b Military subsistence was distributed among groups on the basis of
information concerning the basic clothing ration and its cost by item.
C Wool.
4 Excluding fur and fur products.
negligible for other footwear. One index—~clothing—
is based on official data on the value of production in
constant rubles; the data are given in the above-noted
sources. Few interpolations had to be made.
Eight indexes are based on deflated retail sales:
fabrics (cotton, wool, silk, linen), haberdashery, school
and office supplies, household soap and detergents,
and toilet soap and cosmetics. Retail sales in current
prices are available for nearly all years in the annual
Narkhozy (e.g., Narkhoz 1972, pp. 584-585) as are
specific indexes of state retail prices (e.g. Narkhoz
1972, p. 603). Price indexes for linen cloth, household
soap and detergents, and toilet soap and cosmetics
were derived from current values and published index-
es of the value of sales in constant prices (e.g..
Narkhoz 1972, p. 555). The index for publications is
based on retail sales in current prices until 1977; no
important price changes are known to have been made
for these goods until then, the prices of which are kept
low as a matter of social policy. .
Durables and Miscellaneous Goods
Scope and Coverage. The index implicitly covers all
goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out-
lets, except those covered by the indexes for “food,
beverages and tobacco" and for “soft goods." The
341
93-892 O - 82 — 23
Approved for Release: 2 019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.