Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Derivation of I970 Weights for Components of the Index of Food, Beverages, and Tobacco Retail CFM Sales for Sales for Military Consumption Total Consumption Subsistence C in Kind d __i_i_i Consumption = Consumption b- (Billion Rubles) (Billion (Billion (Percent) (Billion Rubles) (Billion Rubles) Rubles) Rubles) T691 W W WW _ 79.924 3.001 1.970_ A 16.964 WW W101.s59W 100W.0o 1v1¢_aW; W 11.793 1.024 .690 6.702 20.209 19.84 §iWsWhWWW W 2.963 .110 1' *9 3 3.073" W 73.02 \W/Wegeta oil 9 .058 .094 W .996 3 3 .98’ Wble W W .844 Mar arine 621 E ' 7 K 7 .621 .617” 3.. . - .. M1W15W WW 4.508 .293 T071 A 4.148 M 9.020 7 8.065“ alter __--. 1-6"... A A- .121 .461 3.259 3.20 Cheese W W .723 .723 .71 Eggs WWWWW 1.573 W .231 W .16W5_ WW1.679_ WW 3.648 WW Sugar WW WW 5.089 .030 W WW W 5.169 W 3.07 CWol11"ectior1eries W W 5.744 K WW W 5.744 6.5.645" Ea WW W W W_ W .W580 .020 W K W .600 4* .579 flour and groats W 9.295 5 .130 7.377 7 T309 W "10.11'1"”” 9.93"” M3CflfOfl1W WWW WWW WW W H I i M Potatoes .718 .753 .072 2.490 4.033 3.967 W \LegetWabWles . _ 2.4W86 .224 W W W 3 299 WWW _F_r511W W 3.130W 7 .346 0 .072 _ .517 . WW_WWW3W.24 W .120 WW W.564 4.160 WW__W4.0WgsW_WW Alcoholic beverages and 23.866 soft drinks 23.866 23.43 Tobacco 2.780 V W ‘2.780 72.73 1* Retail sales reported in Narkhoz 1972, pp. 584-585, minus purchases by state enterprises and institutions in small-scale wholesale trade (melkiy opt). Such purchases were deducted, based on their reported shares in 1968-1969 as given in Vest stat, No. 5, 1971, pp. 36-37. No attempt was made to distribute the deduction for business restaurant meals or the reported total value of the markup added to the costs of products sold in restaurants. ' '> Collective farm market purchases were distributed by product group on the basis of the following data: (1) a distribution of sales in all CFMs in 1957 (I. D. lgnatov, Puti razvitiya kolkhoznoy torgovli, Moscow, 1959, p. 15; (2) indexes of the physical volume of total CFM sales during I958-68 (Narkhoz I959, p. 708 and Narkhoz I968, p. 654); (3) price indexes for 1958-68 compiled from those for all CFM sales during 1958-63 (Narkhoz I959, p. 667; and Narkhoz I968, p. 655); (4) ruble values for 1957 obtained from the shares given in lgnatov and a value of total sales given in Narkhoz I959, p. 708; (5) extending these values to 1968 with current value indexes dervied from the indexes of physical volume and price; (6) assuming that the relative shares so obtained for 1968 held in 1970. Institutional purchases were deducted, based on information in Vest slat, No. 5, I971, p. 39. C CIA estimates based on information concerning the basic military food ration and its estimated costs. d.CIA, GNP I970, pp. 32-35. A value for fruit was estimated using the methodology described there.'The value for butter represents the milk equivalent of 104,000 tons of private production Narkhoz I970, p. 151) valued at average realized prices. Consumption in kind of sunflower seeds was allocated to vegetable oil. 338 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.