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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 8
Derivation of I970 Weights for Components of the
Index of Food, Beverages, and Tobacco
Retail CFM
Sales for Sales for
Military Consumption Total Consumption
Subsistence C in Kind d __i_i_i
Consumption = Consumption b- (Billion Rubles) (Billion (Billion (Percent)
(Billion Rubles) (Billion Rubles) Rubles) Rubles)
T691 W W WW _ 79.924 3.001 1.970_
A 16.964 WW W101.s59W 100W.0o
1v1¢_aW; W
11.793 1.024 .690 6.702 20.209 19.84
§iWsWhWWW W
2.963 .110
1' *9 3
3.073"
W
73.02
\W/Wegeta oil
9
.058 .094
W .996
3 3
.98’
Wble W W
.844
Mar arine 621
E ' 7 K 7
.621 .617”
3.. .
-
..
M1W15W WW 4.508 .293 T071
A 4.148
M
9.020
7 8.065“
alter __--. 1-6"...
A
A- .121 .461 3.259 3.20
Cheese W W .723 .723 .71
Eggs WWWWW 1.573 W
.231 W .16W5_ WW1.679_ WW 3.648 WW
Sugar WW WW 5.089 .030 W WW W
5.169 W 3.07
CWol11"ectior1eries W W 5.744
K
WW W
5.744 6.5.645"
Ea WW W W W_ W .W580 .020
W K W .600
4* .579
flour and groats W
9.295
5
.130 7.377
7
T309
W "10.11'1"”” 9.93"”
M3CflfOfl1W WWW WWW WW W
H I i M
Potatoes .718 .753 .072 2.490 4.033 3.967
W
\LegetWabWles .
_ 2.4W86 .224 W W W 3 299 WWW
_F_r511W W 3.130W
7
.346
0 .072 _
.517 .
WW_WWW3W.24 W
.120 WW W.564 4.160 WW__W4.0WgsW_WW
Alcoholic beverages and 23.866
soft drinks
23.866 23.43
Tobacco 2.780
V W ‘2.780 72.73
1* Retail sales reported in Narkhoz 1972, pp. 584-585, minus
purchases by state enterprises and institutions in small-scale
wholesale trade (melkiy opt). Such purchases were deducted, based
on their reported shares in 1968-1969 as given in Vest stat, No. 5,
1971, pp. 36-37. No attempt was made to distribute the deduction
for business restaurant meals or the reported total value of the
markup added to the costs of products sold in restaurants. '
'> Collective farm market purchases were distributed by product
group on the basis of the following data: (1) a distribution of sales in
all CFMs in 1957 (I. D. lgnatov, Puti razvitiya kolkhoznoy torgovli,
Moscow, 1959, p. 15; (2) indexes of the physical volume of total CFM
sales during I958-68 (Narkhoz I959, p. 708 and Narkhoz I968, p.
654); (3) price indexes for 1958-68 compiled from those for all CFM
sales during 1958-63 (Narkhoz I959, p. 667; and Narkhoz I968, p.
655); (4) ruble values for 1957 obtained from the shares given in
lgnatov and a value of total sales given in Narkhoz I959, p. 708; (5)
extending these values to 1968 with current value indexes dervied
from the indexes of physical volume and price; (6) assuming that the
relative shares so obtained for 1968 held in 1970. Institutional
purchases were deducted, based on information in Vest slat, No. 5,
I971, p. 39.
C CIA estimates based on information concerning the basic military
food ration and its estimated costs.
d.CIA, GNP I970, pp. 32-35. A value for fruit was estimated using
the methodology described there.'The value for butter represents the
milk equivalent of 104,000 tons of private production Narkhoz I970,
p. 151) valued at average realized prices. Consumption in kind of
sunflower seeds was allocated to vegetable oil.
338
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.