Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 26 …the shifting of industrial produc- tion toward Siberia, which leads to longer shipping distances to reach…
  • p. 51 …may cost much more to construct in Siberia than in the Ukraine because of greater transportation…
  • p. 268 …European Russia, Ukraine, the “Volga Valley,” Western Siberia and Altay kray, and Northern and Central Kazakhstan…
  • p. 306 …Kok- chetav and Northern Kazakhstan are equated with Omsk in Western Siberia; all other Kazakhstan ob…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 7 1
Average Annual Percentage
Rates of Growth
Comparisons of CIA Index of Total
Consumption With Indexes Constructed
by Bergson, Chapman, andl}ecker 7
195]-55 1956-58 1951-58 1959-64
CIA“ >
6.3 6.5 AW 6.4 _*‘___‘3.9
}_3<=rgS9g}’ 9-l(8-1) __ _ A___ _ _
Chap-
man C 7.9 7.4 7.7
Becker <1 5.3
H Table A-1.
b Consumption is valued at 1950 prevailing prices. (Bergson, l961,
pp. 85, 149). Figure in parenthesis reflects a valuation in 1950 ruble
factor cost.
° Chapman, Ioc. cit., pp. 238, 271. The index for 1951-55 is
calculated in adjusted market prices of 1937, taken or derived from ‘
data in Bergson, 1961, pp. 128, 134, 165. The extension to 1958 is
based on estimated values in current prices and various deflators.
Sources are given in Chapman, loc. cit., p. 272.
*1 Underlyng values are in 1958 established prices. Becker, 1969,
p. 526.
336
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.