Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Figure 7 The Outlays n.e.c. Residual and a Synthetic Measure Billion Rubles Figure 8 Percent 60 5OA— 45' 30' 1 20 G’ 1557 Synthetic measure 12 ’_— IXTTTT 8..‘_ Outlays n.e.c. (;"—_ .4__ 2i_ Adjusted GNP Annual Growth Ratesof Soviet Adjusted GNP and Net Material Product M Net ....t..i..1i.,;.;.;;;**"'" be so 0“ ”’ ”""" “ ._7__ I I I I I I I I I I L I I I I I O 1965 70 75 80 -4 1951 55 so as 70 vs 79 Comparisons With Official Soviet Data Another assessment of the reliability of our GNP accounts can be made by comparing the official tabulation: five-year periods are shown in the following Five- Year Period Soviet NMP data in constant prices with a synthetic measure of NMP derived from the GNP accounts. NMP measures the value added (less depreciation) in industry, construction, agriculture, freight transporta- tion, business communications, trade, and “other branches” of material production. The synthetic measure of NMP constructed here consists of the entire value added in industry, construction, agricul- ture, trade, general agricultural programs, and forest- Average Annual Percent Growth Adjusted GNP Net Material Product 1951-55 7.6 11.1 1956-60 7.1 9.1 1961-65 5.1 6.5 1966- 70 5.6 1971-75 Z7 _.7_-Z 5.7 1976-80 2.6 4.2 ry, and part of the value added of transportation and communications. Figure 8 compares the annual growth rates of NMP in constant prices and the synthetic measure derived The results show that the synthetic measure grows more slowly than NMP but that the pattern of annual from our GNP data. Average annual growth rates by 25 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 fluctuations is quite close to that of the Soviet meas- ure in constant prices. This result suggests that the ’
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.