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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table C-10
USSR: Derivation of Whole Milk Fed
to Livestock
Year Total a On Collective and Private
State Farms b
Year i£ka1-
"’””
On Collective and
_
State Farms b_
Million tons
Private '
1950 1966 9.5 5.5 4.0-j
1951 __ 1967 10.2 5.9 4.3
1968 10.8 6.3 4.51
1953 1969 11.1 6.6 4.5 d
1954 1970 11.5=_ 6.9 4.6 <1
"W
1955 1971 11.48 6.7 4.7 5
19s1s
1
1972 11.42 6.4 4 "491
1957 1973 11.45 6.5 4.7 1
W
1958
4
1974 11.42 6.8 4.31
195; 1975 Plan 10.9 7.0
1960 1975 Est. 11.4s
1961 5.2 2.9 ° 1976 1L4s
1962 5.2 3.24 1977 11.41;
1963 4.8 3.2 d 1978 11.4s
1964 4.2 3.3 d 1979 11.4s
1965 5.1 3.64
H 1950-60: assumed 13 percent of total milk production, the average
share during 1961-70.
1961-1979: sum of milk fed on collective and state farms and milk
fed to private livestock holdings unless otherwise noted.
1" 1961-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 332. 1971-73: Nalichiye 1'
raskhod v
kolkhozakh i sovkhozakh v I973 godu, Moscow, 1974, p. 6.
1974-1975: Sel’skaya zhizn', 14 September 1975, p. 2.
C P.A. lgnatovskiy, Sotsialno-ekonomicheskiye izmeneniya v
sovetskoy derevne, Moscow, 1966, p. 383, notes that the private
sector fed about 10 percent of its production at the beginning of the
1960s. Private sector production of milk in 1960 was 29.1 million
tons and in 1961 was 28.5 million tons. (Narkhoz I978, p. 249 and
Narkhoz I922-72, p. 258.)
4 According to Molochnaya pr0myshlenn0st', no. 1, 1972, p. 6, the
private sector fed 15.9 percent of its production in 1971. The share of
milk from private sector production being fed to livestock is assumed
to increase by 0.54 percent per year during 1960-70 and by 0.5
percent in 1971 for a total increase of 5.9 percent (15.9 percent in
1971 less 10 percent in 1960). Private sector milk production for
1960-64 is from Narkhoz I965, p. 376; for 1965-71 is from Narkhoz
1975, p. 396.
= Gosudarstvennyy pyatilemiy plan razvitiya narodnogo kh0zyayst-
va SSSR na I971-75 gody, Moscow, 1972, p. 175.
‘Total whole milk fed less whole milk fed on collective and state
farms.
s Plan khoz, no. 11, 1979, p. 91, states that “In 1978 more than 12
percent of milk produced was used for (feed)." Because 12 percent of
milk produced in 1978 (94.7 million tons) is 11.4 million tons, we
assume the planned downturn in feeding of whole milk did not
materialize, and hold the quantity fed constant from 1971 to 1979.
(A small downturn probably occurred in the first year of a new five-
year plan.)
314
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.