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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table C-7 11/1111161116118
USSR: Potatoes Used for Feed (Crop Year)
Year Available by Officially
Calculation 3 Reported '1
Series in
the Index ¢
Table C-8 Thousand tons
USSR: Derivation of Quantities of Vegetables
Available for Feed
Year Production 3 Imports b Consumption C Available
for Feed *1 W
1950
1951_7
33.0
10.2
23.0
20.2
1950 9,344 47.9 9,185.1 206.8
1951 8,836 NA NA NA
1952 21.1 21.1 1952 9,774 NA NA NA
1953 24.1 24.1 1953 11,389 NA NA NA
1954 26.4 26.4 1954 11,918 NA NA NA
1955
1956
1957
23.0
45.0
36.1
23.0
30.0
36.1
1955 14,100 74.2 13,537.23 ‘636.4_
7
1956 14,298 56.4 l2,980.5 1,373.9
1957 14,766 125.2 13411.2 1,480.0
*7
1958 34.1 34.1 1958 14,865 151.1 14,682.8 _3_33.3
7
1959 35.6 35.6 1959 14,774 225.9 14,103.5 896.4
1960 34.6 38.0 38.0 1960 16,574 240.9 15,001 .0 1,813.9
1_961 34.5 39.3 39.3 1961 16,151 340.2 14,61§._5_ 1,§7_2.7
1962 19.9 36.9 36.9 1962 15,989 350.1 14,s5L_g_ 1,4313. 1_
1963 21.3 32.6 32.6 1963 15,051 418.3 14,214.9 1,254.4
1964 41.3 29.6 29.6 1964 19,467 565.1 16,879.4 :T;1“5i2.7
1965 36.8 36.1 36.1 R65 17,627 432.5 16,624.8 1,_4_34.7
L996 37.9 41.5 41.5
1967_ 45.4 38.8 38.8
1966 17,857 521.2 l7,045.5 1,332.7
1967 20,534 584.5 18,880.0 2,23s;_5
1968 51.7 39.4 39.4 1968 19,011 551.9 18,825.7 737.2
1969 41.5 37.6 37.6
1970 47.1 36.9 36.9
1969 18,745 564.1 18,285.6 1,023.5
8
1970 21,212 612.0 l9,909.6 1,914.4
1971 ___43.7 43 1971 20,840 850.4 20,833.5 03533
1972 29.4 30
1973 59.0
26.1
45
26
1972 19,941 965.8 19,8000 1,106.8
L973 25,927 840.8 21,224.5 343.3
1974 24,81 1 865.8 2l,932.7 3,744.11974
35.3 35 1975 23,351 708.8 22,650.5 1,409.31975
37.4 37 1976 24,991 816.3 22,084.8 3,722.5
A
1976
35.9 36 1977 24,149 888.4 22,792.0 2,24551977
38.3 38 1978 23,902 889.9 24,039.6 752.31978
1979 42.8 42 1979 27,215 891.3 25,023.0 3,083.3
B Based on data in table C-6, calculated as explained in text above
1’ USDA, ERS Foreign 355, Livestock Feed Balancesfor the USSR,
(undated), p. 20, converted to crop year use assuming 2/3 of quantity
fed this year is from last year’s crop and 1 / 3 is from this year’s. The
data are not available for 1950-59 or for 1971-79.
C With the exception of 1950-51, which are arbitrarily smoothed, and
1956, which is arbitrarily reduced in order to be more consistent with
the given data, the residually-derived data for 1950-59 are accepted.
Similarly, with the exception of 1973, which is reduced, the
residually-derived data for 1971-79 are accepted.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
8 Appendix table A-2.
1’ Appendix table C-9.
C Midyear population times officially reported per capita consump-
tion from Narkhoz I979, p. 432, and earlier editions.
4 Production plus imports less human consumption. Theoretically,
imports and consumption of vegetables should be lagged to balance
with crop year production in order to derive a quantity of vegetables
available for feed. To lag imports and consumption, we arbitrarily
assumed each occurs evenly throughout the year. Quantities
imported and quantities consumed in year t and year t+ 1 were
averaged. Although the resulting quantities available for feed were
somewhat different from those shown above, the difference is so
small in value terms that growth in the index of net value of output
was changed by less than 0.1 percent in any year. Because the effect
is so small, we did not lag imports and consumption.
312

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.