Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table C-7 11/1111161116118 USSR: Potatoes Used for Feed (Crop Year) Year Available by Officially Calculation 3 Reported '1 Series in the Index ¢ Table C-8 Thousand tons USSR: Derivation of Quantities of Vegetables Available for Feed Year Production 3 Imports b Consumption C Available for Feed *1 W 1950 1951_7 33.0 10.2 23.0 20.2 1950 9,344 47.9 9,185.1 206.8 1951 8,836 NA NA NA 1952 21.1 21.1 1952 9,774 NA NA NA 1953 24.1 24.1 1953 11,389 NA NA NA 1954 26.4 26.4 1954 11,918 NA NA NA 1955 1956 1957 23.0 45.0 36.1 23.0 30.0 36.1 1955 14,100 74.2 13,537.23 ‘636.4_ 7 1956 14,298 56.4 l2,980.5 1,373.9 1957 14,766 125.2 13411.2 1,480.0 *7 1958 34.1 34.1 1958 14,865 151.1 14,682.8 _3_33.3 7 1959 35.6 35.6 1959 14,774 225.9 14,103.5 896.4 1960 34.6 38.0 38.0 1960 16,574 240.9 15,001 .0 1,813.9 1_961 34.5 39.3 39.3 1961 16,151 340.2 14,61§._5_ 1,§7_2.7 1962 19.9 36.9 36.9 1962 15,989 350.1 14,s5L_g_ 1,4313. 1_ 1963 21.3 32.6 32.6 1963 15,051 418.3 14,214.9 1,254.4 1964 41.3 29.6 29.6 1964 19,467 565.1 16,879.4 :T;1“5i2.7 1965 36.8 36.1 36.1 R65 17,627 432.5 16,624.8 1,_4_34.7 L996 37.9 41.5 41.5 1967_ 45.4 38.8 38.8 1966 17,857 521.2 l7,045.5 1,332.7 1967 20,534 584.5 18,880.0 2,23s;_5 1968 51.7 39.4 39.4 1968 19,011 551.9 18,825.7 737.2 1969 41.5 37.6 37.6 1970 47.1 36.9 36.9 1969 18,745 564.1 18,285.6 1,023.5 8 1970 21,212 612.0 l9,909.6 1,914.4 1971 ___43.7 43 1971 20,840 850.4 20,833.5 03533 1972 29.4 30 1973 59.0 26.1 45 26 1972 19,941 965.8 19,8000 1,106.8 L973 25,927 840.8 21,224.5 343.3 1974 24,81 1 865.8 2l,932.7 3,744.11974 35.3 35 1975 23,351 708.8 22,650.5 1,409.31975 37.4 37 1976 24,991 816.3 22,084.8 3,722.5 A 1976 35.9 36 1977 24,149 888.4 22,792.0 2,24551977 38.3 38 1978 23,902 889.9 24,039.6 752.31978 1979 42.8 42 1979 27,215 891.3 25,023.0 3,083.3 B Based on data in table C-6, calculated as explained in text above 1’ USDA, ERS Foreign 355, Livestock Feed Balancesfor the USSR, (undated), p. 20, converted to crop year use assuming 2/3 of quantity fed this year is from last year’s crop and 1 / 3 is from this year’s. The data are not available for 1950-59 or for 1971-79. C With the exception of 1950-51, which are arbitrarily smoothed, and 1956, which is arbitrarily reduced in order to be more consistent with the given data, the residually-derived data for 1950-59 are accepted. Similarly, with the exception of 1973, which is reduced, the residually-derived data for 1971-79 are accepted. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 8 Appendix table A-2. 1’ Appendix table C-9. C Midyear population times officially reported per capita consump- tion from Narkhoz I979, p. 432, and earlier editions. 4 Production plus imports less human consumption. Theoretically, imports and consumption of vegetables should be lagged to balance with crop year production in order to derive a quantity of vegetables available for feed. To lag imports and consumption, we arbitrarily assumed each occurs evenly throughout the year. Quantities imported and quantities consumed in year t and year t+ 1 were averaged. Although the resulting quantities available for feed were somewhat different from those shown above, the difference is so small in value terms that growth in the index of net value of output was changed by less than 0.1 percent in any year. Because the effect is so small, we did not lag imports and consumption. 312
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.