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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Tflblé C-6 Million tons
USSR: Estimates of Elements of the Potato Balance
Year Production H Seed U563 Industrial Use
V
Food "
Alcohol C Starch and Total 1'
___ ___ Syrup *‘_, __ ,_____,_
1950“ 88.612
1951___V 58.754
16._25
16.000
2.240 ___ (.400) '_ _ ‘W’ i(2.640) 43.4040
1.690 (.400) (2.090) 31.000
1952‘ 69.1139
1953 72.572
_15.601
15.783
1.329 _ (._4_00)__ 031.000
1.453 ___ (.500) _‘ _ ____(1_.9531_,,,_W_,_ 0
1954 75.021 16.547
30.000
1-399 __ .3-5°°> ._ . .3.‘ -8.991--.. i .
1955 17;_273
39°09
1.232 (.6001 _____0_ 0___ (1 .s32)___W 02_90.0038_
71.7_5_1
1956 17.474 1561. L999 _.. ._ .3.-l9! (29-559),.96.015
1957 18.578
H
2.277 (.700) “*0 _____02._977100__0__ _ _ 30.27_7_
87.813
1958 86.527 18.098 NA __ (.800)__i *7 3.000) 0 0 0 31.020700
1959 86.561 18.126 NA NA 730000)"
H W0 3_1.5715_
1960
_~
1 7.374 ,_ -6% M -_.]19991._..-... 3<>~<>.-1,2...
__s4.374
1961 16.868 NA
1
NA
“S W 0_____ (2._000)____W_ 0
31.108”_g4_.310
1962 69.677 16.503 "A N“ _.. - 13’:;9_99?_.__ . 3.1..-43,1.-.
1963 71 .s_34 16.150 _# W iii’L 00)_ W0 31739i1
_2@_~642 16.184
.690 __
NA 0
2.0 V H V
.
V”
1.634 ‘UNA __Wfi’ (3.000) WW 31.9304“1964
1965 §§;676 16.362 2.599 1.560 4.159 32.788
1966 87.853 15.945 ~11
m __13.300>
it
1*;309,_,_______,___ 11.s,2_2_,
1_967 95.464 15.829 1.350 1.200_ H‘ Wf2;5f50*’0fiW
1968 102.184 15.772 2.688 ‘
(1.200) 3.888 31.217*1
_A91.779 15.390 "A "A _. ._._(3~629L__. .3151? - _
1969
9.27353 15.322 2.072 (1.200) ’_(_3.272)**W *7 V V 03fi1fl.56i4v 0 A
1970
1971 95655 14.999 3 200) 31 373
1972 78.329 15.124
_ NA ___N'\ _ 1-W W g
-g
H
"*2 _ "A <>> 0429i. -:.._; .i<>7§}?>:.
1976 85.102 13.465
_
~~ 2 1» _.._- 0.4.991. 39~5.§2.-
1977 83.652 13.427 NA NA (3.500) 31.080
1978 86.124 13.380 1
(2.000)
t 7‘ "WW ‘ ' *7 "WW7 ’ "W
1979 90.956 13.235
'-60° <3~°°9.‘._.--____.____.59-532,_ .. 2.
NA NA (3.600) 31.345
H Appendix A.
1’ Sown area times average seeding rate from table C-1 .
° 1950, 1955, 1960, 1963-64: V.G. Pykov, Ekonomika, 0rganizat- '
siya, i planirovaniye spirtovogo proizvodstva, Moscow, 1966, p. 26.
1951-54, 1956-57: V.P. Zotov, Pishchevaya promyshalennosf
sovetskogo soyuza, Moscow, 1958, p. 111.
1965, 1968, 1970, 1973, 1975: M.T. Kochubeyeva, Ekonomika
organizatsiya, 1'
planirovaniye spirtovogo i likerno-vodochnogo
proizvodstva, Moscow, 1977, p. 62.
1967: midpoint of range given in N.V. Vinogradov, (ed.), Ekonomika
pishchevoy promyshlennosti SSSR, Mosoow, 1968, p. 208.
4 1950-57: estimated.
1958, 1965: V.P. Zotov, (ed.), Pishchevaya prom_vshIerm0st’SSSR,
Moscow, 1967, p. 360.
1967: N.V. Vinogradov, (ed.), ibid. Moscow, 1968, p. 208.
1978:Sakharnayapromyshlennosf, no. 10, 1978, p. 14.
= S11m ofquantities of potatoes used for alcohol and starch and syrup
Missing years interpolated and indicated by parentheses.
1 Mid-year population times officially reported per capita consump-
1
tion from Narkhoz 1979, p. 432, and earlier editions.
311
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.