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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-6 Slaughter weight
USSR: Derivation of 1970 Average Realized Prices
for Individual Types of Meat
Table B-7
USSR: Derivation of 1970 Prices for Livestock
Inventories
Value of
Marketings
(million rubles)“
Quantities
Marketed
(thousand
tons)b
Average
Price
(rubles per
ton)<
Weight of Live Price Price per
Animal (rubles per ton) b Animal
(tons per head) 8 (rubles per
head)__~‘_V___V
Total meat 22,l0l.4 9,400 2,351 Cattle .309 1,531 442*" 7%Beef 1 1,083.4 4,517 2,454 Hogs .107 1,620 "la. _,_.Pork 7,433.0 3,300 2,252 Sheep and goats .040 _ 935 _ _ 37% MiMutton 1,342.4 736 1,824 Poultry (d) .002 1,896 5
Poultry
Other 691.3
1,551.3 655
192
2.368
3,601
H CIA, GNP I970, pp. 32-34
b Quantities of meat in slaughter weight are estimated by multiply-
ing liveweight marketings by dressing percentages. Liveweight
marketings from the various sales channels are from source a. above,
Table A-1, columns C, D, J, and K. The dressing percentages are:
beef - 58.3 percent; pork - 71.9 percent; mutton - 51.2 percent;
poultry - 80.0 percent; other meat -50 percent. Dressing percentages
for beef, pork, and mutton are from l.Ye. Mampel’ and N. Ya.
Rayskiy, Spravochnik po priyemke i soderzhaniyu skota na
myasokombinatakh, Moscow, 1971, pp. 180-184. Dressing percent-
ages for poultry and for other meat (rabbit) are from A.M. Shafran,
Tablitsy perescheta zhivogo skota v uboynyy i uboynogo zhivoy,
Moscow, 1967, p. 10. ‘
C. Value of marketings divided by quantities sold.
Livestock inventories
Average realized prices per ton‘ of meat, liveweight,
are converted to a price per head basis using the
weight of live animals sold to state procurement
organizations. The conversion of rubles per ton of live
weight to rubles per head is shown in table B-7.
Vegetables fed _ _
Feed vegetables are priced at the estimated average
‘realized price for cabbage (95 rubles per ton) which is
believed to predominate in vegetables fed. \
Potatoes fed
Feed potatoes ~are priced at the sea'sonally low pro-
curement-supply price (63 rubles per ton) which is in
effect from September through December. The price
used applies to the RSFSR, Belorussia, ‘and the
Ukraine where 95 percent of potatoes are produced.
Prices are reported in M.K. Vasunin and A.S. Davy-
dov, Gosudarstvennye zakupi kolkhoznoy produktsii,
Moscow, 1978, p. 85.
301
3 Selkhoz I971, p. 328.
1*
CIA, GNP 1970, pp. 32-34.
E Average weight times price per ton.
<1 Live weight per bird is an average of weights for hens and broilers,
ducks, geese, and turkeys (S. N. Alekseev, Tovarovedeniye m_vaso-
promyshlennykh zhivotnykh, pritsy, i produkrov uboya, Moscow,
1972, pp. 99-108). Average weight figures for hens and broilers,
ducks, geese, and turkeys are incorporated into a single average
weight figure for all poultry using a percentage distribution of
mature birds in poultry flocks by type of bird for 1970 (A. V.
Gromova et al., Spravochnik: promyshlennoye ptitsevodsrvo, Mos-
cow, 1971, p. 9). _
Whole milk fed
Whole milk used for feed is priced at the 1970
average realized price described above.
Grain fed ‘
For 1950-59 annual average prices for grain fed
(table B-8) are estimated by weighting average real-
ized grain prices (table B-1) with weights derived from
grain production statistics. For buckwheat, corn, oats,
barley, millet, pulses, and other grain, quantities used
for seed and a deduction for waste are subtracted
from gross output. The percentage distribution of the
remaining net output is used to weight average real-
ized prices. The major food grains, wheat and rye, as
well as rice, are excluded from the calculation. For
1960-'79, quantities of grain used for seed, food,
industrial use, and export are subtracted from total
supply of each grain (except rice) to derive a residual
quantity available for feed.” Negative values that
indicate deficits (such as for buckwheat) in 1974-77
are excluded from the calculation. The residual quan-
tity of each grain is priced at the corresponding
average realized price. The weighted average price for
all feed grain varies for year to year according to the
shifts in availability of each type of grain.
"1 A (ER) 75-68.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.