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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release:
Table B-5
USSR: Derivation of 1970 Average Prices for Other
Oilseeds
Value
(thousand
rubles)
Procurement
(rubles per ton)
Quantity
Produced
(thousand
tons)
113
68
245
250
800
375
402
Flax seed
Mustard seed
Castor beans 71
Other 9
Total 261
27,685
17,000
56,800
3,375
104,860
Flax fiber, tobacco, and makhorka
These commodities are priced at 1970 procurement
prices received by collective farms. Data are from
O.F. Lopatina and S.V. Frayer, Ekonomika sotsialis-
ticheskogo seltskogo khozaystvo, Moscow, 1973, p.
413.
Oil crops
The average price for all oil crops (203 rubles per ton)
is the weighted sum of prices for individual crops.
Sunflower seed
The price (187 rubles per ton) is taken from CIA,
GNP I970, p. 32.
Soybeans
The price (260 rubles per ton) is the RSFSR list
procurement price from G.V. Kulik et al., Sprav0ch-
nik ekonomista kolkhoza i sovkhoza, Moscow, 1970,
p. 301.
Other
This category includes flax seed, mustard seed, castor
beans, and other minor oilseeds. All prices are
RSFSR list procurement prices from Kulik et al., op.
cit., p. 301. Prices for flax seed, mustard seed, castor
beans and other minor oilseeds are weighted together
with 1971 production data from Vest stat, no. 10,
1974, p. 89. Other minor oilseeds include hemp seed,
tung nuts, peanuts, falseflax, rape, colza, sesame, and
others. The price (402 rubles per ton) is the weighted
2019/07/19 C05210421
sum of RSFSR procurement prices for peanuts (600
rubles per ton), falseflax (135 rubles per ton) and rape
(170 rubles per ton). Prices are weighted arbitrarily
assuming a 50 percent share for peanuts, 25 percent
for falseflax, and 25 percent for rape (table B-5).
Tea ,
1
Tea is valued at the actual procurement price received
by state and collective farms in 1970 (940 rubles per
ton). Data are from Ye.S. Karnaukhova et al., Ek0no-
mika sotsialisticheskogo sel 'sk0g0 khozyaystva,
Moscow, 1970, p. 418; and G.G. Badiryan, op. cit., p.
394.
Meat, slaughter weight
The average realized price for all meat (2351 rubles
per ton) is the weighted sum of prices for individual
types of meat (table B-6). To calculate prices for
slaughter weight quantities, the ruble value of live-
weight marketings are divided by slaughter weight
quantities. The underlying assumption is that the
unusable portions (the weight difference between live
weight and slaughter weight) are of zero value.
Milk, eggs, and wool
Average realized prices for milk, eggs, and wool are
from CIA, GNP I970, p. 32-34. Prices for milk (196
rubles per ton) and eggs (100 rubles per thousand
units) apply both to production and to quantities used
in production for feed (milk) and hatching eggs.
Honey
The price (1600 rubles per ton) is the RSFSR procure-
ment price from G.V. Kulik et al, Spravochnik ek0n0-
mista kolkhoza i sovkhoza, Moscow, 1970, p. 383.
RSFSR procurement prices were used because 70
percent of all honey originates in this region.
Silk cocoons
Almost half of silk cocoon procurements came from
Uzbekistan in 1970. Narkhoz Uzbekskoy SSR I971,
pp. 103, 139-140 shows receipts of collective farms
and of private producers from state procurement of
silk cocoons in 1970 as well as quantities sold. The
average procurement price (5100 rubles per ton) is
derived by dividing receipts by quantities sold.
300
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.