Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-3 Thousand tons
USSR: Quantities of Fruit Procured, 1970
Total“ Private State Collective
Producersb Farms Farms
Table B-4
USSR: 1970 Average Procurement Price for Fruit
Procurements Quantities 9 Prices
_. _.___.-, (“‘9§‘3_'_‘9__‘9F‘il_, .
Total 6,180 872 3,170 2,138 Fruits and berries Wu“ mm W _WVW_
Grapes 3,145 255 1,494 (C) 1,396 (4)
Berries 49 20 1,676 (d) 742 (4)
Other mm 2,986 597
9 Data for total fruit procurements and for procurements of grapes
and other fruits are reported in Narkhoz I 97 2, p. 299. Berry
procurements are derived as a residual by subtracting procurements
of grapes and other fruit from total fruit procurements.
l’ G. M. Bogush et al., in Sel 'skoye khozyaystvo SSSR, Moscow,
1972, p. 95, show percentage shares of total fruit procurements
(6,180 thousand tons) that were obtained from private producers
(14.1 percent). G. G. Badiryan, in Ekonomika sotsialisticheskogo
rel Zrkokhozyayslva, Moscow, 1971, p. 377, presents data on procure-
ments of berries from the private sector (40 percent) and for other
fruits procured from the private sector (20 percent). Grape procure-
ments from the private sector are derived as a residual by subtracting
private procurements of berries and other fruit from total fruit
procurements from the private sector.
C Total procurements of grapes from the socialized sector are
allocated to state and collective farms according to their respective
shares of fruit production. (Badiryan, op. c|'t., p. 402).
*1 Includes berries and other fruits. Derived by subtracting procure-
ments of grapes from total procurements of fruit from these
producers.
Fruit _
This category includes berries, grapes, other fruit, and
nuts. The weighted average price (282 rubles per ton),
however, is based on prices for berries, grapes and
other fruit (table B-4). Average procurement prices
are used because not enough data are available on
fruit prices in collective farm markets, commission
trade, and decentralized procurements to calculate
average realized prices. The average procurement
price is derived by weighting prices paid to collective
farms, state farms, and private producers by the
quantities obtained from each. Table B-'3 shows quan-
tities of fruit procured in 1970. Table B-4 shows the '
valuation of procurements and the derivation of the
average procurement price. 1
Sugarbeets
Sugarbeets, are priced at the 1970 price paid to
collective farms for beets sold to state procurement
organizations (26 rubles per ton). The 1970 price is
from Vop ek, no. 1, 1973, p. 57.
299
Deliveries of state farms and other state 1,676 276 h
agricultural enterprises ____ __ i_>W_V_> WW7_
Procured from collective farms Ai “K 742_’fA if i i
Delivered by private producers W W_6Vl7 fir» i V _ V
246 fr
Total or average _i i 3,0_35 ’_ M WW if
@~11>=s- _- _ 5 . _§§Q--.
Deliveries of state farms and other state 1,494 315 b
agricultural enterprises
Procured from collective farms W __1,396 _ _ ___
Delivered by private producers W ___255
Total or avenge __> 3,145 30£_ _
Total fruit _V__ i__
Deliveries of state farms and other state 3,170 294 b
agricultural enterprises M _ _> f “WW _W
._ 1138 ._ _,__37§*_,‘1,,,
Procured from collective farms _W_
Delivered by private producers _ 872 __ 9
6,180 282Total or average
9 Table B-3 '
b State farm procurement prices are derived from an index for 1970
of fruit procurement prices (1966-100), Ek selkhoz, no. 7, 1972, p 33.
The 1966 prices for fruits, and berries are calculated from Badiryan,
op. cit, p. 379, 389. For grapes, the 1965 price was used (Vop ek, no.
1 1, 1966, p.38). Because prices received by all farms per unit of
delivered product were relatively unchanged from 1965 to I970
(Narkh0z I979, pp. 230, 260) little error is introduced.
C O. F. Lopatina and S.V. Frayer, E konomika sotsialisticheskogo
sellvkogo khozyaystva, Moscow, 1973, p. 413. Collective farm
procurement prices are assumed to be applicable to private
producers.
Cotton 1
.
Procurement prices of state farms in 1970 (517 rubles
per ton) and of collective farms (566 rubles per ton)
are weighted with quantities sold-to procurement
organizations to obtain an average price of 555 rubles
per ton. The collective farm procurement price is from
Vop ek, no. 1, 1973, p. 57. The state farm price is
calculated from data in Ek selkhoz, no. 7, 1972, p. 33,
and in K.I. Pankova et al., Ek0n0mik0-statistiches-
koye izucheniye sovkhozov, Moscow, 1969, p. 134.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.