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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 2
Percentage Distribution of National Product by End Use in
Selected OECD Countries (GDP) and in the USSR (GNP)
if iii MW
Consumption
_ WW *5 A W77WWfl WW
Investment All Other Expenditures
1950 1960 1970 1979 1950 1960 1970 1979 1950 1960 1970 1979
Total OECD NA 60.1 59.3 61.0 NA 20.2 22.8 21.2 NA 19.7
A
17.9 17.8
Of which
Canada 55.2 57.5 53.3 57.0 21.1 22.5 21.7 22.2 23.7 20.0 2585- 20.8
United States 62.1 60.9 62.2 64.6 19.5 18.2 18.4 17.4 18.4 20.9 19.4 18.0
Japan 63.2 a 63.2 54.4 55.4 15.1" 23.1 34.9 33.2 '21.7= 13.7
”
10.7 11.4
_*
Australia 67.5 61.5 57.7 59.3 24.4 24.6 26.5 21.2 31 13.9 15.8 19.5
New Zealand NA 68.2 59.9 62.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Finland 52.8 1’ 54.4 55.1 54.1 25.5 b 30.1 28.6 23.2 21.7» 15.5 16.3 22.7
France 60.0 1’ 60.3 59.1 62.6 17.3 1’ 19.3 23.8 21.5 22.7 b 20.4 17.1 15.9
West Germany 52.5 1’ 52.0 53.3 54.7 20.11’ 24.0 24.1 22.2 27.4 b 24.0 22.6 23.1
*8
Italy 66.1 '= 59.4 63.6 62.4 15.65 26.0 24.4 18.9 18.3” 14.6 12.1) 18.7
Netherlands 56.9 b 51.8 57.4 59.8 18.6" 21.6 25.3 20.8 24.5 b 26.6 17.3 19.4
Norway 61.1 57.9 54.1 48.6 27.3 26.3 28.2 26.3 11.6 15.8
H
17.7 25.1
8
Spain 72.9 ° 69.9 67.4 68.8 15.6“ 16.7 23.1 20.0 1l.5° 13.4 9.5 -11.2
'8
Sweden 62.3 56.8 52.3 52.5 16.7 20.6 21.6 19.0 21.0 22.6 26.1 28.5
Switzerland 67.4 58.7 58.4 63.9 16.2 23.7 25.5 23.6 716.4 17.6
C
16.1 12.5
Turkey 77.3 79.7 73.9 72.9 16.8 15.5 19.4 16.6 15.9 4.8 6.7 10.5
—'
United Kingdom 62.6 * 63.7 61.0 61.4 12.7 fl 16.7 20.7 17.9 :24.7 = 18.6 18.3 29J_.__
USSR 59.9 57.7 54.2 53.2 14.2 24.2 28.2 32.5 25.8 18.1 17.6 14.3
8 The data are for 1952.
1’ The data are for 1951
I The data are for 1954
NA = not available.
Sources: OECD data are from National Acounts of OE CD
Countries, OECD, Paris, 1981, except for the value for total OECD
for 1960. The latter value is from the 1980 edition of the same
publication. The USSR data are from table A-l 1. All percentages,
except for total OECD, are calculated using data expressed in
domestic currencies in constant prices. The total OECD data are
calculated using data expressed in 1975 US dollars.
93-892 O - 87 - 3
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.