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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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“Gross”60+ pages

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 2
Percentage Distribution of National Product by End Use in
Selected OECD Countries (GDP) and in the USSR (GNP)
if iii MW
Consumption
_ WW *5 A W77WWfl WW
Investment All Other Expenditures
1950 1960 1970 1979 1950 1960 1970 1979 1950 1960 1970 1979
Total OECD NA 60.1 59.3 61.0 NA 20.2 22.8 21.2 NA 19.7
A
17.9 17.8
Of which
Canada 55.2 57.5 53.3 57.0 21.1 22.5 21.7 22.2 23.7 20.0 2585- 20.8
United States 62.1 60.9 62.2 64.6 19.5 18.2 18.4 17.4 18.4 20.9 19.4 18.0
Japan 63.2 a 63.2 54.4 55.4 15.1" 23.1 34.9 33.2 '21.7= 13.7
”
10.7 11.4
_*
Australia 67.5 61.5 57.7 59.3 24.4 24.6 26.5 21.2 31 13.9 15.8 19.5
New Zealand NA 68.2 59.9 62.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Finland 52.8 1’ 54.4 55.1 54.1 25.5 b 30.1 28.6 23.2 21.7» 15.5 16.3 22.7
France 60.0 1’ 60.3 59.1 62.6 17.3 1’ 19.3 23.8 21.5 22.7 b 20.4 17.1 15.9
West Germany 52.5 1’ 52.0 53.3 54.7 20.11’ 24.0 24.1 22.2 27.4 b 24.0 22.6 23.1
*8
Italy 66.1 '= 59.4 63.6 62.4 15.65 26.0 24.4 18.9 18.3” 14.6 12.1) 18.7
Netherlands 56.9 b 51.8 57.4 59.8 18.6" 21.6 25.3 20.8 24.5 b 26.6 17.3 19.4
Norway 61.1 57.9 54.1 48.6 27.3 26.3 28.2 26.3 11.6 15.8
H
17.7 25.1
8
Spain 72.9 ° 69.9 67.4 68.8 15.6“ 16.7 23.1 20.0 1l.5° 13.4 9.5 -11.2
'8
Sweden 62.3 56.8 52.3 52.5 16.7 20.6 21.6 19.0 21.0 22.6 26.1 28.5
Switzerland 67.4 58.7 58.4 63.9 16.2 23.7 25.5 23.6 716.4 17.6
C
16.1 12.5
Turkey 77.3 79.7 73.9 72.9 16.8 15.5 19.4 16.6 15.9 4.8 6.7 10.5
—'
United Kingdom 62.6 * 63.7 61.0 61.4 12.7 fl 16.7 20.7 17.9 :24.7 = 18.6 18.3 29J_.__
USSR 59.9 57.7 54.2 53.2 14.2 24.2 28.2 32.5 25.8 18.1 17.6 14.3
8 The data are for 1952.
1’ The data are for 1951
I The data are for 1954
NA = not available.
Sources: OECD data are from National Acounts of OE CD
Countries, OECD, Paris, 1981, except for the value for total OECD
for 1960. The latter value is from the 1980 edition of the same
publication. The USSR data are from table A-l 1. All percentages,
except for total OECD, are calculated using data expressed in
domestic currencies in constant prices. The total OECD data are
calculated using data expressed in 1975 US dollars.
93-892 O - 87 - 3
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.