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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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“Siberia”4 pages

  • p. 26 …the shifting of industrial produc- tion toward Siberia, which leads to longer shipping distances to reach…
  • p. 51 …may cost much more to construct in Siberia than in the Ukraine because of greater transportation…
  • p. 268 …European Russia, Ukraine, the “Volga Valley,” Western Siberia and Altay kray, and Northern and Central Kazakhstan…
  • p. 306 …Kok- chetav and Northern Kazakhstan are equated with Omsk in Western Siberia; all other Kazakhstan ob…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
1976: Vest stat, no. 9 1977, p. 90.
1975: USDA Agricultural Situation: Review of I978
and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and
Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p. 12.
1973-74: Vest stat, no. 10, 1975, p. 89.
1971-72: Vest stat, no 10, 1974, p. 89.
1960, 1965, 1970: Maslo-zhirovaya pr0myshlenn0st',
no. 8, 1972, p. 8.
1963-64, 1966-69: Total soybean production is esti-
mated on the assumption that RSFSR production
accounts for 98 percent of total output (Ek selkhoz,
no. 7, 1973, p. 46). Soybean production in the RSFSR
for the relevant years is reported in Narkhoz RSFSR
I965, p. 243 and Narkhoz RSFSR I969, p. 184.
1961-62: Straight line interpolation between 1960 and
1963.
1950, 1953-59: Selkhoz I960, p. 202-203.
1951-52: Output in 1950 is moved forward to 1951
and 1952 using an index of sown area from Posevnyye
ploshchadi SSSR, vol. 2, Moscow, 1957, p. 94.
Other oilseeds
This category includes castorbeans, mustard seed,
flaxseed, hemp seed, tung nuts, peanuts, falseflax,
rape, colza, sesame, and others. Output is estimated
by subtracting production of soybeans and sunflower
seeds form total oilseed output. Total oilseed produc-
tion is reported in the following sources.
1975-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 220.
1970-74: Narkhoz I975, p. 318.
8
1950, 1960-69: Selkhoz 1971, pp. 148-149.
1953, 1959: Narkhoz 1962, pp. 234-235.
1956-58: Selkhoz I960, pp. 26-27.
1955: Narkhoz I960, p. 375.
1954: Calculated from, 1954-58 average production
given in Narkhoz 1960, p. 375.
1951-52: Estimated by moving 1950 total oilseed
production forward with an index of sunflower seed
production.
Fiber flax
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 120.
1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 369.
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 201.
Tea (procurements)
1975-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 261.
1971-74: Narkhoz I975, p. 382.
1960-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 239.
1953, 1955-59: Selkhoz I960, pp. 90, 257.
1951-52, 1954: Total tea procurements are estimated
by moving 1950 procurements forward with an index
of tea procurements in Georgia, which accounts for
over 95 percent of Soviet tea procurements. Procure-
ment figures for Georgia are found in Narodnoye
khozyaystvo Gruzinskoy SSR v I962 gody, Tbilisi,
1963, pp. 134-135.’
1950: Strana sovetov za 60 let, Moscow, 1967, p. 147
Milk, eggs, wool
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 79.
1978: Vest stat, no. 10, 1979, p. 78.
1954-77: Vest stat, no. 6, 1979, p. 66.
1953: Selkhoz I960, p. 350, 355, 360.
1951-52: Narkhoz I967, p. 332.
19.50: Narkhoz I965, p. 378, 474, 476.
Honey
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 79.
1978: Vest stat, no 10, 1979, p. 78.
1977: Vest stat, no. 10, 1978, p. 95.
1976: Vest stat, no. 9, 1977, p. 90.
1975: Straight line interpolation.
1973-74: Vest stat, no. 10, 1975, p. 95.
1972: Vest stat, no. 10, 1974, p. 93.
1972: Straight line interpolation
1950, 1960-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 322.
1953, 1956-59: Selkhoz 1960, p. 333.
1951-52, 1954-55: Straight line interpolation
Silk cocoons 1
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 79.
1978: Vest stat, no. 10, 1979, p. 78.
1975-77: Narkhoz I978, p. 203.
1965, 1970-74: Narkhoz 1975, p. 325.
1950, 1960 1966-69: Selkhoz I971, p. 53.
1963-64: Narkhoz I965, p. 268.
1961-62: Narkhoz I962, p. 238.
1953, 1955-59: Selkhoz I960, p. 91.
1954: Calculated using data on annual average pro-
curements for 1954-58 and on annual procurements
for 1955-58.
1951-52: Straight line interpolation.
287
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.