Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
1976: Vest stat, no. 9 1977, p. 90.
1975: USDA Agricultural Situation: Review of I978
and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and
Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p. 12.
1973-74: Vest stat, no. 10, 1975, p. 89.
1971-72: Vest stat, no 10, 1974, p. 89.
1960, 1965, 1970: Maslo-zhirovaya pr0myshlenn0st',
no. 8, 1972, p. 8.
1963-64, 1966-69: Total soybean production is esti-
mated on the assumption that RSFSR production
accounts for 98 percent of total output (Ek selkhoz,
no. 7, 1973, p. 46). Soybean production in the RSFSR
for the relevant years is reported in Narkhoz RSFSR
I965, p. 243 and Narkhoz RSFSR I969, p. 184.
1961-62: Straight line interpolation between 1960 and
1963.
1950, 1953-59: Selkhoz I960, p. 202-203.
1951-52: Output in 1950 is moved forward to 1951
and 1952 using an index of sown area from Posevnyye
ploshchadi SSSR, vol. 2, Moscow, 1957, p. 94.
Other oilseeds
This category includes castorbeans, mustard seed,
flaxseed, hemp seed, tung nuts, peanuts, falseflax,
rape, colza, sesame, and others. Output is estimated
by subtracting production of soybeans and sunflower
seeds form total oilseed output. Total oilseed produc-
tion is reported in the following sources.
1975-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 220.
1970-74: Narkhoz I975, p. 318.
8
1950, 1960-69: Selkhoz 1971, pp. 148-149.
1953, 1959: Narkhoz 1962, pp. 234-235.
1956-58: Selkhoz I960, pp. 26-27.
1955: Narkhoz I960, p. 375.
1954: Calculated from, 1954-58 average production
given in Narkhoz 1960, p. 375.
1951-52: Estimated by moving 1950 total oilseed
production forward with an index of sunflower seed
production.
Fiber flax
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 120.
1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 369.
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 201.
Tea (procurements)
1975-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 261.
1971-74: Narkhoz I975, p. 382.
1960-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 239.
1953, 1955-59: Selkhoz I960, pp. 90, 257.
1951-52, 1954: Total tea procurements are estimated
by moving 1950 procurements forward with an index
of tea procurements in Georgia, which accounts for
over 95 percent of Soviet tea procurements. Procure-
ment figures for Georgia are found in Narodnoye
khozyaystvo Gruzinskoy SSR v I962 gody, Tbilisi,
1963, pp. 134-135.’
1950: Strana sovetov za 60 let, Moscow, 1967, p. 147
Milk, eggs, wool
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 79.
1978: Vest stat, no. 10, 1979, p. 78.
1954-77: Vest stat, no. 6, 1979, p. 66.
1953: Selkhoz I960, p. 350, 355, 360.
1951-52: Narkhoz I967, p. 332.
19.50: Narkhoz I965, p. 378, 474, 476.
Honey
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 79.
1978: Vest stat, no 10, 1979, p. 78.
1977: Vest stat, no. 10, 1978, p. 95.
1976: Vest stat, no. 9, 1977, p. 90.
1975: Straight line interpolation.
1973-74: Vest stat, no. 10, 1975, p. 95.
1972: Vest stat, no. 10, 1974, p. 93.
1972: Straight line interpolation
1950, 1960-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 322.
1953, 1956-59: Selkhoz 1960, p. 333.
1951-52, 1954-55: Straight line interpolation
Silk cocoons 1
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 79.
1978: Vest stat, no. 10, 1979, p. 78.
1975-77: Narkhoz I978, p. 203.
1965, 1970-74: Narkhoz 1975, p. 325.
1950, 1960 1966-69: Selkhoz I971, p. 53.
1963-64: Narkhoz I965, p. 268.
1961-62: Narkhoz I962, p. 238.
1953, 1955-59: Selkhoz I960, p. 91.
1954: Calculated using data on annual average pro-
curements for 1954-58 and on annual procurements
for 1955-58.
1951-52: Straight line interpolation.
287
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.