Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Other grain Other grain is estimated for 1951 and 1952 by subtracting the production of nine individual types from the total. Potatoes 1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 253. 1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 371. 1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 206. Vegetables 1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 254. 1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 373. 1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 211. The total harvest is distributed by type of vegetable according to the percentage distribution of state pro- curements of vegetables by type. State procurement statistics are available for 1950, and 1960-70 in Selkhoz I971 pp. 68-70 and in Selkhoz 1960 p. 103. Percentage distributions of procurements for 1951- 1959 are estimated by a straight-line interpolation of the 1950 and 1960 distributions. From 1971 forward, the 1970 percentage distribution is used. Figures for the production of vegetables by type in the socialized sector are available for recent years. Since these figures exclude the large quantity of vegetables pro- duced in the private sector, the 1970 distribution of total procurements is used. Fruits, berries, nuts 1975-79: Narkhoz 1979, p. 259. 1971-74: Narkhoz I975, p. 381. 1960, 1965-70: Selkhoz I971 p. 237. 1958, 1963-64: Narkhoz I965, p. 297. 1953, 1959, 1961-62: Narkhoz I962, p. 297. 1956-57: Selkhoz I960, pp. 254, 256. 1955: Narkhoz I960, p. 446. Published statistics for 1955 exclude citrus production. An arbitrary allow- ance of 40,000 tons has been added to the published figure. 1954: Calculated from average annual production for 1954-58 given in Narkhoz I960, p. 375. An arbitrary allowance of 40,000 tons of citrus fruit was added to the official total. 1951-52: Straight line interpolation. 1950: Narkhoz I967, p. 410. Sugarbeets (procurements) 1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 256. 1971-75: Nar/choz I975, ;. 376. » 1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 197. Cotton 1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p, 250. 1972-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 367. 1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 194. Tobacco and Makhorka 1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 76. 1975-78: Narkhoz I978, p. 203. l\970-74: Narkhoz I974, p. 319. 1960, 1965-70: Selkhoz 1971, p. 52. 1963-64: Narkhoz I965, p. 268. 1961-62: Narkhoz I962, p 239. 1950, 1953, 1955-59: Selkhoz I960, p. 90. 1954: Calculated from annual average procurements for 1954-58 as given in Narkhoz I962, p. 239. 1951-52: Straight line interpolation between 1950 and 1953. Sunflower seed 1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 252. 1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 370. 1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 203. Soybeans 1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 76. 1978: Vest s_tat, no. 10, 1979, p. 75. 1977: Total soybean production is estimated on the assumption that production in the RSFSR accounts for 96 percent of the total,'as was the case in 1971-74. For these years, data on total production are available (see below). Data on RSFSR production for 1971-74 are from Narkhoz I 975, p. 209. Comparison of RSFSR and all-USSR production statistics shows that the annual average ratio of RSFSR production to total output is 96 percent. Data on 1977 production of soybeans in the RSFSR are found in Narkhoz RSFSR I977, p. 123. 286 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.