Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Other grain
Other grain is estimated for 1951 and 1952 by
subtracting the production of nine individual types
from the total.
Potatoes
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 253.
1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 371.
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 206.
Vegetables
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 254.
1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 373.
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 211.
The total harvest is distributed by type of vegetable
according to the percentage distribution of state pro-
curements of vegetables by type. State procurement
statistics are available for 1950, and 1960-70 in
Selkhoz I971 pp. 68-70 and in Selkhoz 1960 p. 103.
Percentage distributions of procurements for 1951-
1959 are estimated by a straight-line interpolation of
the 1950 and 1960 distributions. From 1971 forward,
the 1970 percentage distribution is used. Figures for
the production of vegetables by type in the socialized
sector are available for recent years. Since these
figures exclude the large quantity of vegetables pro-
duced in the private sector, the 1970 distribution of
total procurements is used.
Fruits, berries, nuts
1975-79: Narkhoz 1979, p. 259.
1971-74: Narkhoz I975, p. 381.
1960, 1965-70: Selkhoz I971 p. 237.
1958, 1963-64: Narkhoz I965, p. 297.
1953, 1959, 1961-62: Narkhoz I962, p. 297.
1956-57: Selkhoz I960, pp. 254, 256.
1955: Narkhoz I960, p. 446. Published statistics for
1955 exclude citrus production. An arbitrary allow-
ance of 40,000 tons has been added to the published
figure.
1954: Calculated from average annual production for
1954-58 given in Narkhoz I960, p. 375. An arbitrary
allowance of 40,000 tons of citrus fruit was added to
the official total.
1951-52: Straight line interpolation.
1950: Narkhoz I967, p. 410.
Sugarbeets (procurements)
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 256.
1971-75: Nar/choz I975, ;. 376. »
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 197.
Cotton
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p, 250.
1972-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 367.
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 194.
Tobacco and Makhorka
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 76.
1975-78: Narkhoz I978, p. 203.
l\970-74: Narkhoz I974, p. 319.
1960, 1965-70: Selkhoz 1971, p. 52.
1963-64: Narkhoz I965, p. 268.
1961-62: Narkhoz I962, p 239.
1950, 1953, 1955-59: Selkhoz I960, p. 90.
1954: Calculated from annual average procurements
for 1954-58 as given in Narkhoz I962, p. 239.
1951-52: Straight line interpolation between 1950 and
1953.
Sunflower seed
1976-79: Narkhoz I979, p. 252.
1971-75: Narkhoz I975, p. 370.
1950-70: Selkhoz I971, p. 203.
Soybeans
1979: Vest stat, no. 9, 1980, p. 76.
1978: Vest s_tat, no. 10, 1979, p. 75.
1977: Total soybean production is estimated on the
assumption that production in the RSFSR accounts
for 96 percent of the total,'as was the case in 1971-74.
For these years, data on total production are available
(see below). Data on RSFSR production for 1971-74
are from Narkhoz I 975, p. 209. Comparison of
RSFSR and all-USSR production statistics shows
that the annual average ratio of RSFSR production to
total output is 96 percent. Data on 1977 production of
soybeans in the RSFSR are found in Narkhoz
RSFSR I977, p. 123.
286
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.