Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 183 …Biases in the Basic Data” for a fuller treatment of the new-product pricing phenomenon. It…
  • p. 253 …waste as it affects each category; a fuller discussion of the waste prob- lem can be…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 7
Sensitivity Tests of CIA Index
Average Annual Percentage Rates of Growth Average Absolute
Percentage Difference
1951-79 1951-60 1961-70 1971-79
1970 prices‘
Net crops 2.4 2.6 3.7 0.7
Net livestock 3.7 6.1 3.7 1.0
Total 3.0 4.3 3.7 0.9
No discounts
Net crops 2.6 3.1 3.9 0.5 .023
V "WW0
~ Net livestock 3.5 5.7 3.6 1.0 ___ .010
Total __ 3.0 4.3 3.8 0.7 .001
‘T Wmzzfll W
Flat discounts on grain and
sunflowers
Net crops 2.5 2.9 3.9 0.6 _¢_ .022
Net livestock 3.7 6.0 3.7 1.1 .0os
Total 3.1 4.5 3.8 1.7’ .008
Wm” M A
Additional discounts on crops
and eggs
Net crops 2.4 2.6 3.7 0.7 .6<§
WW1 1 mfl”””
Net livestock 3.6 6.1 3.7 1.0 .0159
H
Total 3.0 4.4 3.7 0.8 .002
yarying animal weight
Net crops 2.4 2.6 3.7 0.7
Net livestock 3.7 5.9 3.9 1.0
A_
311
"Am ‘WW "W M A
Total 3.0 4.2 3.8 0.8
3
.603"
9' WW3 “ H”
Feed valued at cost
l
Net crops 2.0 2.0 3.5 0.2 .023
Net livestock 4.0 6.5 3.9 1.3 .012
Total 3.3 4.3 3.7 0.9
_
.002
3 W A
1960 prices ~
Net crops 2.5 2.5 4.0 0.2“
W .6157
Net livestock 3.8 6.3 3.6 1.3 .068
Total 3.0 4.1 3.8 1.0 .012
93-892 O - 82 — 19
277 ‘
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.