Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Figure 4
Growth Rates of Soviet GNP and Industry
Percent
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Figure 5
Distribution of Soviet GNP by Sector of Origin
Percent
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As a result of the Soviet Union’s long-term policy of
emphasizing industrial development, the share of
GNP created in industry has increased steadily from
20 percent in 1950 to 37 percent in 1980. The rate of
growth of industry’s share of GNP has been slowing,
however, and has changed little in the late 1970s.
Among the branches of industry, the machinery and
chemicals branches have had the highest growth
rates. The machinery share of GNP has risen from 6
percent in 1950 to 14 percent in 1980, while the
chemicals share has risen from 1 to 3 percent of
GNP.“
Agriculture’s share of GNP has dropped from 31
percent in 1950 to 14 percent in 1980. As discussed
above, fluctuation in the index of agricultural produc-
tion is the dominant cause of fluctuation in the growth
rate of GNP. Since the relative importance of agricul-
ture in the Soviet economy probably will continue to
" See J EC, Industry, for an analysis of the development of Soviet
industry.
17
decrease, the repercussions of its future fluctuations
on GNP growth should diminish.
The demand for transportation, communications, and
trade services is derived for the most part from the
growth of industry and construction. Consequently,
the share of these three sectors in GNP has grown
significantly:
Percentage Share of GNP
1950 1960 1970 1980
Transportation 3.9 6.8 8.7 10.3
Communications 0.6 0.7 0.9 l.2
Trade 5.0 6.8 . 7.3 7.7
In particular, the increase in the share of GNP
produced in the transportation sector can be attribut-
ed to the increasing size of the industrial sector, which
relies on transportation to move raw materials and
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Not linked to a story yet.
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.