Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Contents
Page
I. Summary
II. Introduction
III. Construction of the Index
A. Coverage of the Sample
B. 1970 Price WeightsIf I I I
C. The Index
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IV. Evaluation of Official Soviet Statistics g W
A. AvailabilityW V77 7‘ I I
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C. Lack of Consistency Over Time W TWO I
D. Comparability With Western Statistics
V. Deductions for Waste .
A. The Nature of the Problem
B. Calculation of Waste in Sunflower Seed and Grain
A. Grain and Potatoes Used for Seed
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B. Estimates of Livestock Feed and Hatching Eggs7 T S
C. Testing the Estimates of Seed and Feed
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A. Use of Alternative Discounts and Feed ValuesI W W7 MW I I
B.IJse of Alternative Price Weights
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I W VIII. ‘Comparison of the CIA Index with Other 161188?of SovietwA“gri7ciultuIralii
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ProductionS F CT“ '
A. T116 Official s6v1¢1 Index of USSR Gross AgF1Zu1?uir.£1iou£p1i1CH If I I I I
TB. The FAO Index
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C. The USDA Index of Soviet Agricultural Output
D. The US Index of Agricultural Output
Appendixes
A. Derivation~of Quantity Data Used in the Index of Soviet
Agricultural Production
B. USSR: Average Realized 1970 Prices of Agrgultural Cdmmodities
C. USSR: Intrasector Use of Agricultural Output
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.