Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

Open the PDF at page 247 Original source ↗

“United Press”16 pages

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Contents
Page
I. Summary
II. Introduction
III. Construction of the Index
A. Coverage of the Sample
B. 1970 Price WeightsIf I I I
C. The Index
I
IV. Evaluation of Official Soviet Statistics g W
A. AvailabilityW V77 7‘ I I
KCCUFZICY
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C. Lack of Consistency Over Time W TWO I
D. Comparability With Western Statistics
V. Deductions for Waste .
A. The Nature of the Problem
B. Calculation of Waste in Sunflower Seed and Grain
A. Grain and Potatoes Used for Seed
I W77 If I I
B. Estimates of Livestock Feed and Hatching Eggs7 T S
C. Testing the Estimates of Seed and Feed
I ‘WINS 77 I
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A. Use of Alternative Discounts and Feed ValuesI W W7 MW I I
B.IJse of Alternative Price Weights
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I W VIII. ‘Comparison of the CIA Index with Other 161188?of SovietwA“gri7ciultuIralii
I
ProductionS F CT“ '
A. T116 Official s6v1¢1 Index of USSR Gross AgF1Zu1?uir.£1iou£p1i1CH If I I I I
TB. The FAO Index
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C. The USDA Index of Soviet Agricultural Output
D. The US Index of Agricultural Output
Appendixes
A. Derivation~of Quantity Data Used in the Index of Soviet
Agricultural Production
B. USSR: Average Realized 1970 Prices of Agrgultural Cdmmodities
C. USSR: Intrasector Use of Agricultural Output
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.