Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

Open the PDF at page 247 Original source ↗

“Siberia”4 pages

p. 26 …the shifting of industrial produc- tion toward Siberia, which leads to longer shipping distances to reach…
p. 51 …may cost much more to construct in Siberia than in the Ukraine because of greater transportation…
p. 268 …European Russia, Ukraine, the “Volga Valley,” Western Siberia and Altay kray, and Northern and Central Kazakhstan…
p. 306 …Kok- chetav and Northern Kazakhstan are equated with Omsk in Western Siberia; all other Kazakhstan ob…

Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Contents
Page
I. Summary
II. Introduction
III. Construction of the Index
A. Coverage of the Sample
B. 1970 Price WeightsIf I I I
C. The Index
I
IV. Evaluation of Official Soviet Statistics g W
A. AvailabilityW V77 7‘ I I
KCCUFZICY
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C. Lack of Consistency Over Time W TWO I
D. Comparability With Western Statistics
V. Deductions for Waste .
A. The Nature of the Problem
B. Calculation of Waste in Sunflower Seed and Grain
A. Grain and Potatoes Used for Seed
I W77 If I I
B. Estimates of Livestock Feed and Hatching Eggs7 T S
C. Testing the Estimates of Seed and Feed
I ‘WINS 77 I
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A. Use of Alternative Discounts and Feed ValuesI W W7 MW I I
B.IJse of Alternative Price Weights
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I W VIII. ‘Comparison of the CIA Index with Other 161188?of SovietwA“gri7ciultuIralii
I
ProductionS F CT“ '
A. T116 Official s6v1¢1 Index of USSR Gross AgF1Zu1?uir.£1iou£p1i1CH If I I I I
TB. The FAO Index
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C. The USDA Index of Soviet Agricultural Output
D. The US Index of Agricultural Output
Appendixes
A. Derivation~of Quantity Data Used in the Index of Soviet
Agricultural Production
B. USSR: Average Realized 1970 Prices of Agrgultural Cdmmodities
C. USSR: Intrasector Use of Agricultural Output
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.