Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-1 (continued)
USSR: Allocation of Value Added in the Machinery Sector
to Producer Durables and Consumer Durables
(1)
Sector
(7)
Value Added
in Manufacture of
Consumer Durables
(million rubles) T
1_8)
‘Value Added
in Manufacture of
Producer Durables
(million rubles) s
(9)
Consumer
Durables
Index Status '1
( 1 0)
Producer
Index
Status 1‘
Energy and power machinery
and equipment
0 671.2 NC U
Electrotechnical machinery
and equipment
509.2 2,645.0 EQ EQ
Cable products i
516.5 0 N1 N1
Machine tools 0 858.1 NC U
Forge press machinery
and equipment
0 200.7 NC U_
Casting machinery and equipment 0 52.6 NC NI
Tools and dies 0 605.9 NC Nl
Precision instruments 622.8 2,704.1 NC U
Mining and metal machinery
and equipment
0 1,039.9 NC U
Pumps and compressors 301.2 707.? U U
Log and paper machinery
and equipment
0 142.9 NC U
Light-industry machinery
and equipment
25.3 326.8 EQ EQ
Food-industry machinery
and equipment
0 321.1 NC U
Printing machinery and equipment 0 39.1 NC U
Hoist-transport machinery
and equipment
0 533.4 NC U
Construction machinery
and equipment
0 574.8 NC U
Construction material machinery
and equipment
0 222.7 NC N1
Transport machinery and equipment 0 1,812.6 NC U
Automobiles 750.0 2,124.6 U U
Agriculture machinery and
equipment
0 2,129.4 NC U
Bearings 0 448.2 NC N1
Other machinery 1,514.6 l2,946.9 U N1
Sanitary engineering machinery
and equipment
0 578.4 NC U
Other metalwares 1,423.2 538.1 EQ EQ
Metal structures i 0 734.7 NC U
Repair machinery and equipment 0 8,470.4 NC U
Abrasives i
0 170.8 NC N1
Total machinery 5,657.7 41,598.?
'1
Key i
The negative final demand of cable products, metal structures, and
NCZ This sector does not produce any consumer durables according abrasives prevents determination of the producer and consumer
to the input-output table. durables shares. Since for cables the apparent consumer durables
N12 No reliable index is available for measuring either producer or share is positive and the producer durables share is negative, we
consumer durables production in this sector. arbitrarily allocate all of that sector’s value added to consumer
U: The production index used is unique either to producer or durables. Since metal structures and abrasives apparently have no
consumer durables in this sector. private consumption, we allocate their entire value added to the
EQ2 The same production index is used both for producer and producer durables group.
consumer durables in this sector.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.