Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Sea”7 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 7 Rankings of Industrial Branches by Growth Rates W 1951-ss 1956-so 1961-as 1966-vo 7 197—1_1s'“_“ii>76-so Ferrous metals SPIOER Official 4 7 4 7 6 5 5 7 6 7 8 7 Fuels SPIOER Official 8 4 6 8 7 6 7 7 s 4 s 5 _ Electric power SPIOER Official 2 2 2 2 4 3 3 3 3 2 4 3 Chemicals and petrochemicals SPIOER Official 3 3 1 1 2 4 1 l 1 3 ?____ A 2 ______ ____,_, W Wood, pulp, and paper SPIOER Official 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 9 9 9 7 9 Construction materials B SPIOER Official 1 1 7 6 l 1 4 4 4 6 3 6 Machinery SPIOER Official 7 6 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 l 1 Light industry SPIOER Official 5 8 8 3 5 9 9 5 8 5 9 4 Processed food _ SPIOER Official 6 5 5 5 8 7 6 6 7 8 6 8 Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient b Sum of Squared Differences C 0.75 0.73 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.97 30 32 16 16 14 4 3 For the official series, the construction materials branch is a combination of the published construction materials and glass and porcelain indexes. b F reund, Modern Elementary Statistics, pp. 364-366. C The sum of squared differences derived in the Spearman Rank Order Correlation test is significant at 99-percent level of confidence if the value is less than 20. For a discussion of the significance test, see James V. Bradley, Distribution-Free Statistical Tests, (Engle- wood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, [nc., 1968), pp. 93-95, 314. 199 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.