Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 184 …Metalwares, metal structurals, light industry and processed food industry machinery and equipment, and mineral chemicals are…
  • p. 271 …meals, fish meal, and vitamin and mineral supplements as well as ground hay and other materials…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 7
Rankings of Industrial Branches by Growth Rates
W 1951-ss 1956-so 1961-as 1966-vo
7 197—1_1s'“_“ii>76-so
Ferrous metals
SPIOER
Official
4 7 4 7
6 5 5 7
6 7
8 7
Fuels
SPIOER
Official
8 4 6 8
7 6 7 7
s 4
s 5 _
Electric power
SPIOER
Official
2 2 2 2
4 3 3 3
3 2
4 3
Chemicals and petrochemicals
SPIOER
Official
3 3 1 1
2 4 1 l
1 3
?____ A 2 ______ ____,_, W
Wood, pulp, and paper
SPIOER
Official
9 9 9 9
9 8 8 9
9 9
7 9
Construction materials B
SPIOER
Official
1 1 7 6
l 1 4 4
4 6
3 6
Machinery
SPIOER
Official
7 6 3 4
3 2 2 2
2 1
l 1
Light industry
SPIOER
Official
5 8 8 3
5 9 9 5
8 5
9 4
Processed food
_ SPIOER
Official
6 5 5 5
8 7 6 6
7 8
6 8
Spearman’s Rank
Correlation Coefficient b
Sum of Squared
Differences C
0.75 0.73 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.97
30 32 16 16 14 4
3 For the official series, the construction materials branch is a
combination of the published construction materials and glass and
porcelain indexes.
b F reund, Modern Elementary Statistics, pp. 364-366.
C The sum of squared differences derived in the Spearman Rank
Order Correlation test is significant at 99-percent level of confidence
if the value is less than 20. For a discussion of the significance test,
see James V. Bradley, Distribution-Free Statistical Tests, (Engle-
wood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, [nc., 1968), pp. 93-95, 314.
199
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.