Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 7
Rankings of Industrial Branches by Growth Rates
W 1951-ss 1956-so 1961-as 1966-vo
7 197—1_1s'“_“ii>76-so
Ferrous metals
SPIOER
Official
4 7 4 7
6 5 5 7
6 7
8 7
Fuels
SPIOER
Official
8 4 6 8
7 6 7 7
s 4
s 5 _
Electric power
SPIOER
Official
2 2 2 2
4 3 3 3
3 2
4 3
Chemicals and petrochemicals
SPIOER
Official
3 3 1 1
2 4 1 l
1 3
?____ A 2 ______ ____,_, W
Wood, pulp, and paper
SPIOER
Official
9 9 9 9
9 8 8 9
9 9
7 9
Construction materials B
SPIOER
Official
1 1 7 6
l 1 4 4
4 6
3 6
Machinery
SPIOER
Official
7 6 3 4
3 2 2 2
2 1
l 1
Light industry
SPIOER
Official
5 8 8 3
5 9 9 5
8 5
9 4
Processed food
_ SPIOER
Official
6 5 5 5
8 7 6 6
7 8
6 8
Spearman’s Rank
Correlation Coefficient b
Sum of Squared
Differences C
0.75 0.73 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.97
30 32 16 16 14 4
3 For the official series, the construction materials branch is a
combination of the published construction materials and glass and
porcelain indexes.
b F reund, Modern Elementary Statistics, pp. 364-366.
C The sum of squared differences derived in the Spearman Rank
Order Correlation test is significant at 99-percent level of confidence
if the value is less than 20. For a discussion of the significance test,
see James V. Bradley, Distribution-Free Statistical Tests, (Engle-
wood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, [nc., 1968), pp. 93-95, 314.
199
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.