Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Hill”4 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 6 Percent Soviet Industrial Production: Average Annual Rates of Growth Industrial materials 8.9 6.8 5.3 “ 5.4 1951-55 1956-60 1961-65 1966-70 1971-75 1976-80 2.6 Ferrous metals 7.6 1.2 5.1 _' 4.0 1.1 Nonferrous metals 6.9 7.6 1.4 5 5.9 2.6 Fuels 8.9 6.3 5.0 5.0 _' 3.3 I 1"” Electric power 11.4 11.5 7.9 7.0 4.5 Chemicals and petrochemicals 10.5 12.0 8.9 8.6 187*“ Wood, pulp, and paper 5.8 2.6 2.9 2.6 —o.1 Construction materials 14.7 5.4 5.7 5.4 1.6 ' Total machinery 7.9 7.4 6.9 7.9 5.4 W Including: Producer durables 12.4 8.9 7.8 8.6 5}? Consumer durables 10.4 9.6 11.3 11.7 '_6.o MW” Consumer nondurables 7.4 4.8 6.4 ‘ 3.4 1.6 T Light industry 6.4 2.6 7.2 Z 2.7 216%“ I Processed food 8.4 6.5 5.9 _ 3.9 on SW7” if Total industry 8.3 6.6 6.3 5.9 5.Z W on time, declining capital productivity, and little success in boosting worker productivity. The result has been the low rates of industrial growth in recent years. Since 1950 some evolution of the industrial structure has occurred: Estimated Share of Industrial Percent Value Added, 1967 Prices The decline in growth is continuing. The USSR faces severe strains because of deceleration in the growth of available inputs-—especia1ly fuels, minerals, and la- bor.” The lack of success in boosting productivity during the 10th Five-Year Plan suggests that the Soviets will be hard pressed to offset tightening input fndusmal materials 484 465 " b0ttlcneck5- Total machinery 31.5 39.0 Consumer nondurables 20.1 14.5 “ See CIA, Soviet Economic Problems and Prospects, ER 77- ' 10536 U (July 1977). I 74195017 Wm1*9§6 I 195 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.