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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 6 Percent
Soviet Industrial Production: Average Annual Rates of Growth
Industrial materials 8.9 6.8 5.3
“ 5.4
1951-55 1956-60 1961-65 1966-70 1971-75 1976-80
2.6
Ferrous metals 7.6 1.2 5.1
_'
4.0 1.1
Nonferrous metals 6.9 7.6 1.4
5
5.9 2.6
Fuels 8.9 6.3 5.0 5.0
_'
3.3
I 1"”
Electric power 11.4 11.5 7.9 7.0 4.5
Chemicals and
petrochemicals
10.5 12.0 8.9 8.6
187*“
Wood, pulp, and paper 5.8 2.6 2.9 2.6 —o.1
Construction materials 14.7 5.4 5.7 5.4 1.6
'
Total machinery 7.9 7.4 6.9 7.9 5.4
W
Including:
Producer durables 12.4 8.9 7.8 8.6 5}?
Consumer durables 10.4 9.6 11.3 11.7 '_6.o MW”
Consumer nondurables 7.4 4.8 6.4
‘ 3.4 1.6
T
Light industry 6.4 2.6 7.2
Z
2.7 216%“ I
Processed food 8.4 6.5 5.9 _ 3.9 on
SW7” if
Total industry 8.3 6.6 6.3 5.9 5.Z
W
on time, declining capital productivity, and little
success in boosting worker productivity. The result
has been the low rates of industrial growth in recent
years.
Since 1950 some evolution of the industrial structure
has occurred:
Estimated Share of Industrial Percent
Value Added, 1967 Prices
The decline in growth is continuing. The USSR faces
severe strains because of deceleration in the growth of
available inputs-—especia1ly fuels, minerals, and la-
bor.” The lack of success in boosting productivity
during the 10th Five-Year Plan suggests that the
Soviets will be hard pressed to offset tightening input fndusmal materials 484 465
"
b0ttlcneck5- Total machinery 31.5 39.0
Consumer nondurables 20.1 14.5
“ See CIA, Soviet Economic Problems and Prospects, ER 77- '
10536 U (July 1977).
I 74195017 Wm1*9§6 I
195
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.