Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
  • p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
  • p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
  • p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table 4
Soviet Industrial Production Indexes
1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1 938“ 1957 1958
1970=100
11195911”
Industrial materials 21.61 24.24 26.37 28.66 31.81 35.53 38.52 42.07 46.43 50.89
Ferrous metals 22.63 25.57 29.08 31.91 34.79 38.32 41.21 43.66 46.61 50.67
Nonferrous metals 19.00 21.54 24.24 27.03 29.58 34.72 36.81 38.88 41.04 44.38
Fuels 24.03 26.25 28.05 29.99 33.07 37.63 41.77 46.57 50.87 54.45
Electric power 12.48 14.20 16.25 18.33 20.49 23.10 26.03 28.51 32.00 35.97
Z
Chemicals and
petrochemicals
13.03 14.31 15.61 17.22 19.59 22.52 25.26 27.65 31.02 33.72
—
Wood, pulp, and paper 40.37 45.80 47.60 49.63 54.66 57.65 59.71) 63.91 69.87 76.29
Construction materials 14.18 16.13 18.19 21.22 24.73 29.37 32.61 37.88 45.19 52.00
Total machinery 21.61 23.73 25.78 28.07 30.60 34.20 36.67 39.16 42.10 45.89
Including:
Producer durables 14.29 15.31 16.96 19.63 22.01 24.94 2s.-I5 33.40 37.97 41.81
Consumer durables 9.97 11.00 12.60 15.23 18.27 22.54 24.86 27.12 29.53 33.33
Consumer nondurables 24.79 28.79 31.00 34.17 37.42 40.47 44.24 46.71 50.33 54.88
Light industry 27.79 32.66 34.75 38.06 42.55 45.59 48.28 50.51 54.53 58.70
U
Processed food 22.27 25.55 27.85 30.91 33.12 36.18 5|.es_
7
Total industry 22.18 24.90 27.01 29.46 32.42 35.99 38.95 41 96 45 73 49.99
“M
1960 1961 1962 1963 -196? 1965 1968
40.86 43.54 i46.82
1967 1968 1969
Industrial materials 54.38 57.71 61.56 65.82 70.59 75.47 80.16 85.51 89.80 93.60
T
Ferrous metals 55.15 59.83 64.42 68.43 73.42 78.11 82.95 87.63 91.62 94.82 __
Nonferrous metals 48.37 52.42 57.07 61.53 65.21 69.88 76.69 83.50 90.17 94.66
Fuels 57.73 60.56 64.06 69.44 73.95 78.31 s3.3_3 87.69 90.77 T9475 Z’
Electric power 39.65 44.46 50.16 55.80 62.03 68.26 73.48 79.13 86.09 92.90
Chemicals and
petrochemicals
37.13 40.82 45.12 49.98 56.85 65.32 71.85 79.02 84.67 s9.§2
V
Wood, pulp, and paper 76.40 76.29 78.09 81.38 85.07 86.77 87.17 91.52 93.71 9573718"
Construction materials 58.27 62.57 65.77 67.60 70.88 75.76 81.22 86.97 90.36 92.16
Z
Total machinery 50.07 54.30 59.84 63.67 67.75 71.48 74.72 79.72 86.90 92.93
7'
Including:
_Pro_d_ucer durables 44.82 48.26 54.55 58.67 63.72 68.53 72.50 78.52 86.34 92.17 _l
_ _Cor_1s_umer durables 37.00 41.10 45.61 49.74 54.01 58.52 64.90 72.96 81.99 90.73 __
Consumer nondurables 57.75 60.92 63.89 65.72 68.51 73.17 77.40 83.44 88.99 94.34
Light industry 62.07 64.34 66.56 67.47 69.47 70.70 75.96 82.26 88.75 94.40
Processed food 54.12 58.06 61.66 64.26 67.70 75.25 78.61 84.42 89.18 94.30“
W
Total industry 53.59 57.18 61.42 65.11 69.30 73.77 77.90 83.26 88.72 93.50
191
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.