Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Figure 4 Structure of the Machinery Branch "- l -“*:%I““"x‘“'*?"!§¥-‘=2 ,,_E~V_,,f,,¢",., , v ~ _. *1 ¢§i2;>,,.. -. ‘ ~. 7- _:>,_~;;:‘- _; /xa:¢¢§=~ " " 7""W"i§£?§!%=i?~=?"“?é?i‘i%':- *~e:=¥i;;“;>:;i?:?‘1ee'~:m,:%*~¢!;:r::§‘:‘§ ' ' 'E‘**‘. ,. ' ~ ~ = ; ~ We r""¢\ ave“ ifilfi ~ To achieve the desired disaggregation of machinery repair; other expenditures and net exports." We as- production according to end use, we rely on the sume that both deliveries to public consumption and categories of final demand included in the recon- to other final demand are preponderantly producer structed Soviet input-output tables. These tables allo- durables. (This is an oversimplification because this cate final demand among three categories: private definition of producer durables undoubtedly captures consumption, public consumption, and other final machinery that is uniquely military and any consumer demand. We assume that the machinery-producing durables that are exported.) We then are able to sectors allocate consumer durables output to private generate a set of value-added weights in each machin- consumption. Public consumption contains “consump- ery sector for producer durables and consumer dura- tion of material product by state organizations and bles. The details of this procedure are described agencies servicing the population, i.e., health, educa- further in appendix B. tional, entertainment, and other such agencies.” In addition, public consumption includes: consumption “ Tr=ml._G?llik. K<>s1insk:_/.=1n.d Kruaer;$rr1wwre.np- 48-49; Also by pub“? hem -ms» Y::Z:“§;";1;s?r,$::i‘s.,'?;:1‘%,’ttf?::*tl:':;‘s';:ri&a'§:’:;*.I'~s"*- Communlcatlonsv and th¢ stat‘? other final demand Vladimir G. Treml, ed., Studies in Soviet Input-Output Analysis, consists of net accumulation of fixed capital, working (New York: Pmzer Publishers. 1977), v- 9- capital, inventories, and state reserves; replacement of depreciated fixed capital and capital losses and capital 189 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.