Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

Open the PDF at page 175 Original source ↗

“Hill”4 pages

p. 50 …Commerce, Washington, D.C., 1967; T. P. Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for…
p. 51 …on the representativeness of the quantity sample. Hill argues that the price index is likely to…
p. 53 …small fluctuations in the two other values.” ” Hill investigated the conditions under which double deflation is…
p. 188 …Moreover, Hill’s study of growth in several OECD countries suggests that on average the growth…

Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Tables
1 . Share of Branch Value Added in 1972 Accounted for by Different 184
Statistical Series
L11]-PU-Il\J
OO\IO\
.
N7“ SPIOER Industrial Ggupirigs
SIM” 7 1557
if
.7” WWW Industry: I970 Value Added at Factor Cost‘l:;7Branch
Wm O I If 7 W
PM POMS Soviet Industrial Production Indexes
P Mm 19IWfl
PVC W Soviet IndustriaIProduction: Annual Rates of Growth
M '
193
W77
. Soviet Industrial Production: Average Annual Rates of Growth 195
Rankings of Industrial Branches by Growth Rates 199
WW“ 7W7ComparisoIns SF Average Annual Growth in andflwm A I
O '
'al Seriesfficl
O7A“Y9.W W“l77lDifference Between Official and SPIOER Average A5{Ja1 Pfiififi
Rates for Industry and Branches of Industry
10. Difference Between Official and SPIOER Growth Rates WW7fl2(I§I I I
for Industry
ll. SPIOER and Official Industrial Indexes: Comparisons of Secular 205
"W I
Growth Patterns
12. SPIOER and Official Industrial Indexes: Directional Changes in 206
W
13. Estimated Sample Coverage of SPIOER Indexes in 1972 209
14. SPIOER and I-O GVO: Comparisons of Average Annual 210
Growth Rates
W H WI —H771I§.W’A IwI7WGross Output and Value Added inlnput-Output Tablesfatl>ConstanTI2111
WW
Prices
16. Comparison of Growth of Output in Two Sectors Using Fixed and 213
Variable Price Weights
17. Comparison of Growth of Quantity and Value Series Within 216
Branches of Industry
Growth of Machinery Samples Estimated From O ial GVO 15151}
I
18. ffic
I I
Growthiof Soviet Industry Under7Dif§reI\;umptior§ofIBiaslWWW2I§ I 7
in the SPIOER Producer Durables Sample
I my Ail.‘
W The SPIO-BR Sample: Products, Units, and I(ey Sources
WW I
T219
A-2. Gross Sector Output Indexes 230
B-1. Allocation of Value Added in the Machinery Branch to Producer 242
Durables and Consumer Durables
172
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.