Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Gross”60+ pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Sources to this table: l- Reported prafits Total profits are the reported value for all state The remainder (0.750 billion rubles) is divided arbitrarily as enterprises (85.668 billion rubles—Narkhoz, p. 541) less net insur- ance premiums (1.047 billion rubles—CIA, fiNP I970, p. 46). The values for each sector are from Narkhoz I977, pp. 541 and 543 To Sciencewith the following exceptions: e Profits in the nonferrous metals sector are estimated in CIA, GNP I 970, p. 70. ~ Profits in the electric power sector include the profits of the urban electric power system (0.137 billion rubles). These profits are assumed to be included with the reported profits of the communal economy (0.984 billion rubles—Narkh0z 1 97 7, p. 541) which are allocated based on some data for the RSFSR as follows: follows: ml 0.750 0.100 Credit and insurance 0.550 Other branches of material 0.100 production Total 0.984 Electric power 0.137 Other utilities 0.770 Repair and personal care 0.002 Recreation 0.040 Urban transportation 0.035 ~ Profits of the machinery; wood, pulp, and paper; light industry; and other industry sectors are reduced by arbitrary estimates of profits in repair and personal care services. Total repair and personal care profits are arbitrarily estimated at 0.400 billion rubles based on scattered republic data, of which 0.002 a-re included in the profits of the communal economy (above). The remaining amount is distributed as follows: Total 0.398 Machinery 0.037 Wood, pulp, and paper 0.008 Light industry 0.277 Other industry 0.076 ~ Profits in the other industry sector are computed as a residual. - Communications profits are from CIA, GNP I 970, p. 67. e Transportation profits are computed as total profits in transporta- tion and communications (1 1.523 billion rubles—Narkhoz I977, p. 541), less profits in communications (above), plus profits in urban transportation (above). e Trade profits are the sum of profits in trade, supply and sales, and agricultural procurement. - Utilities profits are estimated as a share of the profits of the communal economy (above). - Profits in the science, credit and insurance, and other branches of material production sectors are assumed to be components of the other branches category in the Narkhoz profit data. The reported profits of this category (1.797 billion rubles—Narkhoz I 977, p. 541) are reduced by net insurance premiums (1.047 billion rubles). 159 2. Bonuses. Total bonuses are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 45. The to- tal is distributed among the sectors based on the assumption that the ratio of bonuses to reported profits is the same in each sector. 3. "Net"pra/its. This is column 1 less column 2. 4. Adjustmentfor industrial profits. It is believed that the profit data in the Narkhoz are reported on a ministry basis. The data in this column represent the ratio of profits on a commodity basis to profits on a ministry basis in the branches of industry as estimated in V. D. Belkin (ed.), Model ' "dokhod-tovary"i balans narodnogo khozyaystva, Moscow, Nauka, 1978, p. 119. 5. Adjusted "net" pro/its. This is column 4 times column 3 for the branches of industry, column 3 for all other entries. 6. Other net income. The value for agriculture represents the sum of retained income and income taxes of collective farms (table D-3, items l,a and 3,a). The values for trade and recreation represent the sum of retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its. This is column 5 plus column 6. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.