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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-14
Distribution of Amortization Deductions by Branch of Industry, 1970
Fixed Capital _ 46.160 7~L-.-_.. __-§.é5_‘l..___ 3}?lyiachi 22." __i_'_H 7 _
Chem_ic§A_>_' y
16.3 __ 18.7’ _*__17.140 7.(>__W_ 1.200_ __”7._55oW _ W
.
.W99d-P"lP~299.2aP" ___ 11.2 __7_1#2‘.y2__‘__ 11.550 10.0 1.155 7.266 1.136
Construction materials 12.3 _ 13.7 _ _12.790_ 8-0 1°23..- .___§~.“_3_°...-.._. . 11°96...
iii ht industr_y_ 8.4 9.3 8.715 6.7 0.584 3.674 7
3 _ .
food iridustryiiw _ 17.9 _‘____1s.9 18.250
. . .0-5. ‘!
7.5 1.369 8.613 1.346
Other industry 11.8 11.2 11. 590 6.3 0.728 4.580 0.716
Sources for this table:
l. Fixed capital—end 1969. This item represents the fixed capital
of industry in 1955 prices on 1 January 1970. All values, except for
nonferrous metals and other industry, are from Constance B.
Krueger, USSR: Gross Fixed Capital, unpublished, May 1976,
table 3. The capital stock of nonferrous metals is assumed to be
one-half that of ferrous metals. The capital stock of other industry
is derived as a residual.
2. Fixed capitaI—end I970. This item is derived in the same
manner as column 1.
3. Fixed capita1—average 1970. Each entry is computed as column
l plus 35 percent of the difference between column 2 and column l.
This is the formula used by Gosplan to compute the average value
of fixed capital and reflects the fact that more than half of new
fixed capital is commissioned in the second half of the year
(Ukazaniya, p. 27).
157
4. Depreciation rate.This is derived from Narkhoz I970, p. 171.
except for nonferrous metals and other industry. Nonferrous metals
is determined from the ferrous metals rate of 7.2 percent, and the
ratio of the nonferrous metals and ferrous metals depreciation rates
in the 1966 1-O table. The other industry rate is determined as
column 5 divided by column 3.
5. Depreciation. This is column 3 times column 4 except for other
industry, which is derived as a residual.
6. Structure af depreciation. This is column 5 in percentage terms.
7. Adjusted depreciation. Depreciation for total industry is derived
as the sum of reported amortization deduction in industry (l5.544
billion rubles—Narkh0z I978, p. 532) and amortization deductions
of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~
bles-—see the sources to column 2 of table D-13).
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.