Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Gross”60+ pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Sources to this table: ‘ 1. Employment in khozraschet enterprises. The same proxy for khozrascher enterprises is used here as in table D-3, item 2,d. The total employment data from table D-9 are adjusted in the same manner as the wage data in table D-8, and then employment in the budgetary sectors is deleted. Employment in khozraschet science enterprises is estimated in the same manner as wages in the sources for table D-10, column 2. 2. Depreciation. Total depreciation is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 49. Depreciation for total industry and each branch of industry is taken from table D-14 with adjustments made for depreciation in produc- tive repair and personal care services, and for urban electric power distribution. Depreciation in the repair and personal care services included in Soviet industrial statistics is calculated by assuming that the capital-labor ratio in these services is one-half of the nonservice component of the same branch of industry and that the depreciation rate is the same. Depreciation in urban electric power is based on a distribution of the capital stock of the communal economy (see services below). Depreciation in construction is the sum of reported deductions in construction (2.313 billion rubles—Narkh0z 1978, p. 532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily engaged in retail trade activity, they do conduct activities belonging to other sectors. According to P. I. Vakhrin (Formirovaniye osnovykh fondov kooperativnoy torgovli, Moscow, Ekonomika, 1974, p. 88), the capital stock of consumer cooperatives on 1 January 1971 was distributed as shown in column 1 of the tabulation below: Depreciation in agriculture is the sum of reported deductions in agriculture (2.985 billion rubles-—Narkhoz I978, p. 532), a share oi‘ the deductions by consumer cooperatives (0.006 billion rub1es—see construction above), and deductions made by kolkhozy (2.722 billion rubles—CIA, GNP I 970, p. 49). Depreciation in communications is from Ibid, p. 68. Depreciation in transportation is the total reported for transportation and communications (5.410 billion rubles- Narkhoz 1978, p. 532), less depreciation in communications (above), plus the depreciation on urban transportation recorded with the communal economy (0.198 billion rubles—see services below). Depreciation in trade is the sum of reported deductions in retail trade (0.443 billion rubles—Narkh0z 1978, p. 532), supply and sales (0.530 billion rubles—Ibid), agricultural procurement (0.228 billion rub1es—Ibid), and consumer cooperatives (0.266 billion rubles——see construction above). . Depreciation in services is the sum of its components. Depreciation in utilities is based on a distribution of the capital stock of the communal economy: Sector (1) (2) (3) Capital Stock on Percent of Depreciation 1 January 1971 Column l (million (million rubles) rubles) 7,784 626 3,951 318 3,010 242 100.0 50.8 38.7 Total Utilities Water and sewer Gas 941 12.1 76 5°¢10f (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Capital Depreci- Calculated Percent Depreci- Stock on ation Depreci- of ation 1 January Rate ation Column (million 1971 (percent) (million 3 rubles) (billion rubles) rubles) Trade 5,208 5.8 302 72.4 266 Transportation 2,458 31.6 198 Subways 1,449 18.6 I 17 Trams and 1,009 13.0 81 buses Electric power 700 _ 9.0 56 ___W_ _r Baths and 204 2.6 16 laundries i __ Industry 1,239 7.6 94 22.5 83 Hotels 471 6.1 38 Agriculture 118 6.1 7 1.7 6 Construc- 94 15.1 14 3.4 12 tion Total 6,659 6.3 417 100.0 367 The depreciation rates in column 2 are from the 1972 I-O table. Column 3 is column 1 times column 2 and column 4 shows the percentage distribution of column 3. Column 5 is column 4 times the total, 367 million rubles (Narkhoz I978, p. 532). 155 Depreciation in repair and personal care is the sum of depreciation in baths and laundries (0.016 billion rubles—above) and the depreciation deducted from industry for repair and personal care services as described above. Depreciation in recreation is the sum of depreciation in hotels (0.038 billion rub1es—above) and a part of the depreciation recorded under “other branches“ in the Narkhoz data. Other branches is assumed to include parts of the recreation (art, and resorts), science, credit and insurance, and other branches of Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.