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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-10 (Continued)
Sources to this table:
1. State wage bill. See table D-8,‘ column 7.
2. Social-cultural and sports activities. The total is derived in table
D-3, item 2,d as 0.15 percent of the wage bill of khozraschet
enterprises. The values for each sector are also calculated as 0.15
percent of the wage bill, using the same proxy for khozraschet
enterprises as in table D-3, item 2,d. The budget allocation for
science in 1970, net of investment, was 6.425 billion rubles
(Narkhoz I977, p. 562). Therefore, the estimated wage bill of
khozraschet science enterprises is 5.020 billion rubles less 3.212
billion rubles, or 1.808 billion rubles.
3. Militarized guards. The total is derived in table D-3, item 2,e. It
is distributed proportionally to the wage bills of the sectors in the
productive sphere (industry, construction, agriculture, transporta-
tion, communications, and trade)—the sectors most likely to hire
guard services.
4. Administrative expenses of higher echelons. The total is derived
in table D-3, item 2,f. It is distributed proportionally to the wage
bills of khozraschet enterprises as in item 2 above.
5. Education. The total is derived in CIA, GNP I970, p. 46. It is
distributed proportionally to the wage bills of khozraschet enter-
prises as in item 2 above.
6. Research. The total is derived in CIA, GNP I 970, p. 46. It is
distributed proportionally to the wage bills of the productive sectors
as in item 3 above.
7. Other identified incomes.
Construction, 0.869 billion rubles, is the sum of private earnings in
construction, table D-1, item 4,a,( 1), and the imputed value of
owner-supplied construction services, table D-1, item 6.
Agriculture, 41.709 billion rubles, is the net income of households
from agriculture, table D-1, item 2.
Housing, 1.884 billion rubles, is the sum of private earnings in
housing repair, table D-l, item 4,a,(2),(a), and imputed net rent,
table D-1, item 5.
Repair and personal care, 0.836 billion rubles, is derived in table D-
1, item 4,a,(2),(b).
Recreation, 0.484 billion rubles, is derived in table D-1, item
4,a,(2),(c).
Health, 0.470 billion rubles, is derived in table D-1, item 4,a,(2),(d).
Education, 0.250 billion rubles, is derived in table D-1, item
4.a.(2).(=)-
Military personnel, 3.200 billion rubles, is a CIA estimate of
subsistence (food and clothing) expenditures.
8. Unidentified money income. The total, 7.464 billion rubles, is
derived in table D-1, item 4,b. It is distributed proportionally to the
wage bill in column 1.
9. Total. This is derived as the sum of columns 2 through 8.
150
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.