Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Cooper”25 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table D-9 (Continued) Sources to this table: 1. Average annual employment. All employment data are from Narkhoz 1979, pp. 387-388, except for the branches of industry and for general agricultural programs. Employment in the branches of industry are from Vestnik statistiki, No. 11, 1972, p. 93, except for the nonferrous metals and other industry branches. Employ- ment in nonferrous metals is from Steven Rapawy, Civilian Em- ployment in the U.S.S.R., p. 4. Employment in other industry is derived as a residual. Employment in general agricultural programs is derived as the difference between total reported employment in state agriculture and employment in “state farms, interfarm eco- nomic enterprises, subsidiary and other productive agricultural enterprises” (table D-4, item 2,a). 2. Average monthly wage. All average monthly wage rates are from Narkhoz 197 9, pp. 394-395, except for the branches of industry, other branches of material production, general agricultural pro- grams, and forestry. The average monthly wage rates in the branches of industry, except for nonferrous metals, and other branches of material production, are determined as the state wage bill in column 3 divided by 12 times the employment in column 1. It is assumed that the average monthly wage in nonferrous metals is 25 percent higher than that in ferrous metals, based on evidence from the 1959 and 1966 I-O tables. The wage rates for general agricultural programs and forestry are from table D-4, items 2,a and 2,b. 3. State wage bill. The wage bill in total industry and in each branch of industry is from Vestnik statistiki, No. 11, 1972, p. 94, except for the fuels, nonferrous metals, and other industry branches. The wage bill in nonferrous metals is derived as 12 times the product of the employment in column 1 and the average wage rate in column 2. The wage bill in the fuels sector is determined from relationships among the fuel sectors in the 1972 I-O table. The calculations are shown in the following tabulation: Employment and Wage Data From the 1972 Input-Output Table (1) (2) (3) (4) Employ Total 1TlC1‘11. Wages (thousands) (million rubles) Average Wages per Employee (rubles) Column 3 as a Percent of Wages in the Coal Sector (percent) Coal 1,001.2 3,118.0 3,114 100.0 Oil extraction 94.3 191.4 2,030 65.2 Oil refining 117.2 229.3 1,956 62.8 Gas 21.3 42.2 1,981 63.6 Other fuels 94.1 136.2 1,447 46.5 Peat 74.4 108.1 1,453 46.7 Oil shales 19.7 28.1 1,426 45.8 Total 1,328.1 3,717.1 2,799 89.9 1970 Employment, Wage, and Social Security Data (3) (9) Social Social (5) (6) (7) Average Employ- Total Wages ment Wages Insurance Insurance per (thou- (million Rate Deductions Employee sands) (rubles) (percent) (million (rubles) rubles) Coal 2,682 1,120 3,004 9.0 270 Oil extrac- 1,749 1 18 206 8.4 17 tion Oil refining 1,684 132 222 8.4 19 Gas 1,706 36 61 8.4 5 Other fuels 1,247 136 170 8.4 14 Total 2,375 1,542 3,663 8.9 325 All data in columns 1 and 2 are from the 1972 I-O table. Column 3 is calculated as column 2 divided by column 1. Column 4 is calculated as column 3 divided by the average annual wage in the coal sector (3,1 14 rubles—column 3). The average annual wage rate in 1970 in the coal sector (column 5) is calculated as column 7 divided by column 6. All other data in column 5 are calculated as col- umn 4 times the average annual wages in the coal sector in 1970. All data in column 6, except for other fuels, are from Rapawy, Civilian Employment in the U.S.S.R., p. 4. Employment in other fuels is calculated as a residual. All data in column 7, except for coal, are calculated as column 5 times column 6. The coal entry in column 7 is from Vestnik statistiki, No. 11, 1972, p. 94. The social insurance rates in column 8 for coal, oil extraction, oil refining, and gas are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 72. It is assumed that the rate for other fu- els is 8.4 percent. The data in column 9 are derived as column 7 times column 8. The wage bill in other industry is derived as a residual. The wage bills in all nonindustry sectors are derived as column 1 times column 2 times 12, except for other branches of material production, which is derived as a residual. 148 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.