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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-8 (Continued)
Distribution of the State Wage Bill by Sector of Origin, 1970
Sources to this table:
1. Unadjusted state wage bill. The total state wage bill is derived in
table D-6, item 1, as the sum of state wages and salaries (1 32.032 bil-
lion rubles) and military pay and allowances (3.380 billion rubles).
The services and government administrative services line items are
derived as the sum of their parts. The military personnel line item is
from table D-6, item l,b. All other line items are from table D-9, col-
umn 3. The line items in table D-9 are the Soviet employment
categories, while those in this table are our GNP sectors. The data
from table D-9 are placed in the GNP sectors in this table which con-
tain most of the wages. Columns 2-6 reallocate wages from the
Soviet categories to conform with the definitions of our GNP sectors.
2. Repair and personal care. The Soviets consider the repair and
custom production of consumer goods to be part of the productive
sphere and include the employees engaged in these activities with the
corresponding branches of industry. In order to estimate the value
added in these services, we reallocate the wages from industry to the
repair and personal care sector. Employment in these services, given
in Vestnik statistiki (no. 8, 1973), p. 95, is assumed to be located in
the following industrial branches in the Soviet employment data:
Soviet
Employment
Category
Employment
(thousands)
Type of
Service
Total 1,299
Machinery Repair of durables 122
Wood, pulp, and Furniture repair 26
Pal?"
Light industry Shoe repair 138
Repair and tailoring 709
of clothing
Repair of knitwear 57
Other industry Dry cleaning 37
Laundries 66
Photo services 51
Other services 93
In the absence of wage data for these services, it is assumed that the
average monthly wage in each service is the same as the average
monthly wage in its corresponding branch of industry. The wage
rates are shown in table D-9, column 2.
3. Housing-communal economy. Employment in the housing-
communal economy category of the Soviet employment data belong
to the housing, repair and personal care, utilities, recreation, and
municipal services sectors of our GNP accounts. The distribution of
these employees is estimated to be:
Employment in the housing and in municipal services are
estimated at 51 and 13 percent, respectively, of total housing-
communal employment (CIA, GNP I970, pp. 54 and 75). Hotel
employment is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 42. Repair and personal
care employment is derived as total repair and personal care
employment (l,869,000—Vestnik statistiki, No. 8, 1973, p. 95) less
employment in industrial repair and personal care services
(1,299,000, item 2 above) and less employment in repair and
construction of housing (86,000—Ibid). Utilities employment is
derived as a residual. It is assumed that the average monthly wage
rate for each employment group is 94.5 rubles, the average for the
entire housing-communal economy category (table D-9, column 2).
4. Recreation. The Soviet health category in table D-9 includes
physical culture employment at resorts and sanatoriums, which are
primarily used as vacation spots. Their wages are derived in table
D-4, item l,b.
5. Civilian police. It is thought that employment in the other
branches of material production category in table D-9 includes
militarized guards and civilian police. Their wages, which are
derived in table D-4, item 2,d,(3), are reallocated here to the civilian
police sector.
6. Transportation. Employment in transportation in table D-9
includes many employees in trucking organizations that are subordi-
nate to enterprises in other sectors of the economy. This activity is
equivalent to force-account trucking in the United States, and the
employees involved are included in the various nontransportation
sectors in US statistics. The primary activities in the Soviet Union
are delivery of construction materials, conveying agricultural
produce, and short-haul delivery of industrial goods.
Using data from the 1966 and 1972 I-O tables and various sources
on the different transportation modes, it is estimated that 1.666
million employees were engaged in this type of work in 1970. This
employment is reallocated to other sectors according to ton-
kilometer data for this type of trucking given in Transport i svyaz ',
Moscow, Statistika, 1972, p. 221, as shown in the following
tabulation:
Billion Percent
Ton-
Employment
(million
Sector
Employment
(thousands)
Housing-communal economy 3,052
Housing 1,557
Municipal services 397
Recreation (hotels) 91
Repair and personal care 484
Utilities 523
Kilometers persons)
Total 100.0 1.666
Industry 33.1 25.5 0.424
Construction 28. 1 21.6 0.360
Agriculture 62.0 47.7 0.795
Trade 6.8 5.2 0.087
The average monthly wage for these employees is assumed to be
140.3 rubles, the rate given in Narkhoz I 979, p. 395, for the
transportation subcategory which includes this type of activity.
Within industry, these wages are allocated proportionally to the
wage bill of each branch of industry. -
7. Adjusted state wage bill. This was derived as the sum of columns l
through 6.
146
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.