Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table D-8 (Continued) Distribution of the State Wage Bill by Sector of Origin, 1970 Sources to this table: 1. Unadjusted state wage bill. The total state wage bill is derived in table D-6, item 1, as the sum of state wages and salaries (1 32.032 bil- lion rubles) and military pay and allowances (3.380 billion rubles). The services and government administrative services line items are derived as the sum of their parts. The military personnel line item is from table D-6, item l,b. All other line items are from table D-9, col- umn 3. The line items in table D-9 are the Soviet employment categories, while those in this table are our GNP sectors. The data from table D-9 are placed in the GNP sectors in this table which con- tain most of the wages. Columns 2-6 reallocate wages from the Soviet categories to conform with the definitions of our GNP sectors. 2. Repair and personal care. The Soviets consider the repair and custom production of consumer goods to be part of the productive sphere and include the employees engaged in these activities with the corresponding branches of industry. In order to estimate the value added in these services, we reallocate the wages from industry to the repair and personal care sector. Employment in these services, given in Vestnik statistiki (no. 8, 1973), p. 95, is assumed to be located in the following industrial branches in the Soviet employment data: Soviet Employment Category Employment (thousands) Type of Service Total 1,299 Machinery Repair of durables 122 Wood, pulp, and Furniture repair 26 Pal?" Light industry Shoe repair 138 Repair and tailoring 709 of clothing Repair of knitwear 57 Other industry Dry cleaning 37 Laundries 66 Photo services 51 Other services 93 In the absence of wage data for these services, it is assumed that the average monthly wage in each service is the same as the average monthly wage in its corresponding branch of industry. The wage rates are shown in table D-9, column 2. 3. Housing-communal economy. Employment in the housing- communal economy category of the Soviet employment data belong to the housing, repair and personal care, utilities, recreation, and municipal services sectors of our GNP accounts. The distribution of these employees is estimated to be: Employment in the housing and in municipal services are estimated at 51 and 13 percent, respectively, of total housing- communal employment (CIA, GNP I970, pp. 54 and 75). Hotel employment is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 42. Repair and personal care employment is derived as total repair and personal care employment (l,869,000—Vestnik statistiki, No. 8, 1973, p. 95) less employment in industrial repair and personal care services (1,299,000, item 2 above) and less employment in repair and construction of housing (86,000—Ibid). Utilities employment is derived as a residual. It is assumed that the average monthly wage rate for each employment group is 94.5 rubles, the average for the entire housing-communal economy category (table D-9, column 2). 4. Recreation. The Soviet health category in table D-9 includes physical culture employment at resorts and sanatoriums, which are primarily used as vacation spots. Their wages are derived in table D-4, item l,b. 5. Civilian police. It is thought that employment in the other branches of material production category in table D-9 includes militarized guards and civilian police. Their wages, which are derived in table D-4, item 2,d,(3), are reallocated here to the civilian police sector. 6. Transportation. Employment in transportation in table D-9 includes many employees in trucking organizations that are subordi- nate to enterprises in other sectors of the economy. This activity is equivalent to force-account trucking in the United States, and the employees involved are included in the various nontransportation sectors in US statistics. The primary activities in the Soviet Union are delivery of construction materials, conveying agricultural produce, and short-haul delivery of industrial goods. Using data from the 1966 and 1972 I-O tables and various sources on the different transportation modes, it is estimated that 1.666 million employees were engaged in this type of work in 1970. This employment is reallocated to other sectors according to ton- kilometer data for this type of trucking given in Transport i svyaz ', Moscow, Statistika, 1972, p. 221, as shown in the following tabulation: Billion Percent Ton- Employment (million Sector Employment (thousands) Housing-communal economy 3,052 Housing 1,557 Municipal services 397 Recreation (hotels) 91 Repair and personal care 484 Utilities 523 Kilometers persons) Total 100.0 1.666 Industry 33.1 25.5 0.424 Construction 28. 1 21.6 0.360 Agriculture 62.0 47.7 0.795 Trade 6.8 5.2 0.087 The average monthly wage for these employees is assumed to be 140.3 rubles, the rate given in Narkhoz I 979, p. 395, for the transportation subcategory which includes this type of activity. Within industry, these wages are allocated proportionally to the wage bill of each branch of industry. - 7. Adjusted state wage bill. This was derived as the sum of columns l through 6. 146 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.