Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 several miscellaneous identified incomes. Gosbyudzhet 1972 gives T total revenues from the socialist sector and identifies several components (pp. ll-12), leaving a large residual: Billion Rubles Total income from the socialist sector 142.8587 Less: Turnover taxes 49.3798 Payments of state enterprises and other economic 54.1568 organizations from profits Income taxes from kolkhozy and social 1.2344 organizations Social insurance charges 8.2034 Forestry income 0.4924 Equals: Residual 29.3919 Several other income items, which can be estimated or identified from other parts of Gosbyudzhet I 972 or from other sources, reduce this residual substantially: Billion Rubles Residual 29.3919 Less: Local fees from enterprises _0.4588 0.0626 1 .7000 Rental income Income from reduction of administrative expenses Republic budget surplus 1.2548 2.0000 7.5810 0.7348 0.0835 0.5100 0.7500 Increase in the supply of money Income from foreign trade Parents’ fees for kindergartens Parents’ fees for nurseries Price markups on radio and television sets Surcharges on spare parts for agricultural machinery Equals: Revised residual 14.2564 The estimates of income from reduction of administrative expenses and the increase in the supply of money are taken from Igor Birman, Secret Incomes of the Soviet State Budget, The Hague, 135 Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, 1981, pp. 82 and 202. The estimate of surcharges on spare parts for agricultural machinery is derived from the estimate for 1972 in Vladimir G. Treml, Agricultural Subsidies in the Soviet Union, p. 28, and the indication that the 1970 and 1972 values were virtually identical (Vladimir G. Treml, Price lndexesfor Soviet I8-Sector Input-Output Tables for I959-I975, Arlington, Va., SRI International, 1978, p. 96). The estimate of income from foreign trade is derived as the sum of the differences in the prices of exports and imports in domestic and foreign trade prices. Estimates of exports and imports in domestic prices are from Vladimir G. Treml, and Barry L. Kostinsky, The Domestic Value of Soviet Foreign Trade: Exports and Imports in the I 972 Input-Output Table, US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Foreign Economic Report No. 20, Washington, D. C., forthcoming. Exports and imports in foreign trade prices are in Narkhoz I 972, p. 737. The revised residual may include income from such sources as: custom duties, gross receipts of budget organizations, miscellaneous levies and nontax revenues, unspent budget allocations, fines, deductions for the road economy, and possibly bank loans to the budget equivalent to the increase in savings deposits of the population. In the absence of information on the content of the revised residual, we assume that 90 percent (l2.8303 billion rubles) represents income derived from current production of goods and services. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Not linked to a story yet.
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.