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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-3
Soviet Public-Sector Incomes, 1970
Billion Rubles
1. Net income retained by organizations 34.809
a. Retained income of collective farms 7.186
b. Retained profits of state enterprises 26.481
c. Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821
d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321
2. Charges to economic enterprises for special
funds
14.521
a. Social insurance and social security 9.436
b. Education 0.400
c. Research 2.578
d. Social-cultural measures and sports activities 0.162
e. Militarized guards 0.880
f. Support for administration of higher echelons 1.065
3. Taxes and other payments to the budget 132.077
a. Tax on income of collective farms 0.666
b. Tax on income of consumer cooperatives 0.462
c. Tax on income of other organizations 0.107
d. Deductions from profits of state enterprises 53.110
e. Turnover tax 53.346
f. Miscellaneous charges 24.386
4. Allowances for subsidized losses n.e.c. —22.553
5. Consolidated total charges against current
product, net of depreciation
158.854
6. Depreciation ~
31.827
7. Consolidated total charges against current
product
190.681
8. Transfer receipts 25.160
a. Net savings of households 9.720
b. Direct taxes 12.737
c. Other payments to the state 2.703
9. Consolidated net income -
215.841
Sources to this table:
1.Net income retained by organizations
a. Retained income o/collectivefarms. See CIA, GNP I 970, p. 45.
b. Retained profits of state enterprises. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 45.
c. Retained pro/its of consumer cooperatives. This item (0.821
billion rubles) is the difference between net profits (1.321 billion
rubles) and the sum of (1) income taxes (0.462 billion rubles) and (2)
premiums paid to employees (0.038 billion rubles). All data are
from CIA, GNP 1970. pp. 45-46.
d. Retained profits of other organizations. See CIA, GNP I970, p.
46.
2. Charges to economic enterprises for special funds
a. Social insurance and social security. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 46.
b. Education. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 46.
c. Research. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 46.
d. Social-cultural and sports activities. This item (0.162 billion
rubles), estimated as 0.15 percent of total wages of khozraschet
enterprises, represents funds paid to trade unions for support of
social-cultural and sports activities. A proxy for the total wages of
khozraschet enterprises is the total state wage bill (table D-1, item
1) less the wages in health, education, government administrative
services, and part of science (the latter taken at half the state
budget allocation for science, net of investment). The wage bills of
these sectors are shown in table D-8, column 7.
e. Militarized guards. This item (0.880 billion rubles) is estimated
at half of total current outlays on civilian police (table D-4, item
2,d,[3]). It represents charges to enterprise costs that are known to
be incurred for the support of the rnilitarized guard. It is thought
that a substantial share of such police are used to guard state
reserves and prisoners working on contract in ordinary productive
enterprises.
f. Administrative expenses of higher echelons. This item (1.065
billion rubles) is estimated at 30.8 percent of total current outlays
on state administration, the estimated share of employment in
economic administration (trusts, offices, and others) in total state
administration employment. The share was extrapolated to 1970 on
the basis of its growth between 1960 (24.0 percent) and 1967 (28.6
percent—Trud v SSSR, p. 29). This item is intended to represent
the charge to costs of khozraschet enterprises for “support of
higher echelons,” a standard item in enterprise accounts. Outlays
on state administration (3.458 billion rubles) are calculated at 90.5
percent of outlays on state administration and social organizations
(3.821 billion rubles—table D-4, item 2,c). This share is derived in
CIA, GNP I970, p. 54. ~
3.Taxes and other payments to the budget
a. Tax on income of collective farms. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 46.
b. Tax on income of consumer cooperatives. See CIA, GNP I970,
p. 46.
c. Tax on income of other organizations. See CIA, GNP I970, p.
46.
d. Deductions from profits of state enterprises. See CIA, GNP
I970, p. 46.
e. Turnover tax. See Gosbyudzhet I 972, p. 17.
f. Miscellaneous charges. The estimate of this item is substantially
revised from the method described in CIA, GNP I 970, p. 47. In
concept, this item still represents the share of unidentified budget-
ary income which is received from current production activity plus
134
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.